30 October 2026, 16:45 UTC

JS Kabylie vs JS El Biar Ligue 1 prediction & result

Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Tizi Ouzou
Full time1 – 0

Final score: JS Kabylie 1-0 JS El Biar.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% JS Kabylie, 22% draw, 22% JS El Biar — fair odds of 1.79, 4.55 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

JS Kabylie at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

JS Kabylie96%Draw4%JS El Biar0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁A. Badaout: A. Msanga
25'
26'
🔁M. Guemroudout: M. Reguieg
33'
🔁D. Boukermaout: O. Chita
50'
A. Kante
⚽B. Messaoudi (pen)
59'
•B. Messaoudi
63'
71'
🔁A. Mammeriout: A. Oukil
71'
🔁D. Mouakiout: M. Kaddour
72'
🔁I. Cissokoout: K. Merzougui
🔁L. Akhribout: A. Mahious
76'
🔁B. Bouamamaout: A. Bendouma
85'
🔁M. Hamidiout: M. Bott
85'
90'
B. Cisse
90+3'
K. Aribi

Form going into JS Kabylie vs JS El Biar

JS Kabylie

Ligue 1

  • W3-0away to Khenchela24 October 2026
  • W4-1US Biskra18 October 2026
  • D1-1away to ES Setif14 October 2026

JS El Biar

Ligue 1

  • D0-0MC Oran23 October 2026
  • W4-2away to CS Constantine17 October 2026
  • L2-3CR Belouizdad12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2JS Kabylie8521113+817
8JS El Biar93241312+111

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

JS Kabylie beat JS El Biar 1–0. The model had made a win for JS Kabylie its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: B. Messaoudi (penalty) 59' for JS Kabylie.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave JS Kabylie a 39.8% chance to finish in the top two: 44.1% after a win, 33.9% after a draw, 30.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 44.1%, 4.3 points higher than before the match.

For JS El Biar the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 6.4% going in: 2.4% after a win, 5.5% after a draw, 7.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 7.2%, 0.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on JS Kabylie v JS El Biar has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 45% / 28% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 56% / 22% / 22%: the biggest move is JS Kabylie's chance of winning, up 11 points.

  1. JS Kabylie win56%▲ +11
  2. Draw22%▼ −6
  3. JS El Biar win22%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.