30 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou Ligue 1 prediction & result

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Final score: MC Oran 0-0 Olympique Akbou.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% MC Oran, 31% draw, 25% Olympique Akbou — fair odds of 2.27, 3.23 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

MC Oran at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

MC Oran4%Draw94%Olympique Akbou2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

O. Kaddour
6'
20'
W. Zamoum
B. Traore
22'
M. Abdelkader
36'
58'
🔁F. Taharout: H. Messiad
🔁B. Traoreout: B. Benkhedim
63'
🔁J. Aguiebout: A. Ghenam
63'
🔁I. Saadiout: Y. Aliane
70'
🔁O. Kaddourout: H. Baouche
70'
70'
🔁R. Hitalaout: I. Harouna
70'
🔁M. Sediriout: F. Laoufi
81'
H. Mouali
81'
🔁W. Zamoumout: G. Belgacem
81'
🔁M. W. Bencherifaout: K. Diaw
🔁M. Abdelkaderout: A. Bourdim
81'

Form going into MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou

MC Oran

Ligue 1

  • D0-0away to JS El Biar23 October 2026
  • W1-0Khenchela17 October 2026
  • W1-0away to US Biskra13 October 2026

Olympique Akbou

Ligue 1

  • W3-0CS Constantine23 October 2026
  • W2-1Ben Aknoun16 October 2026
  • D0-0away to JS Saoura8 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5MC Oran843152+315
7Olympique Akbou833296+312

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou

  • 3 February 2026MC Oran 0–1 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
  • 29 August 2025Olympique Akbou 1–0 MC OranLigue 1
  • 25 April 2025MC Oran 1–0 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
  • 15 November 2024Olympique Akbou 3–1 MC OranLigue 1
  • 25 November 2022MC Oran 1–1 Olympique AkbouCoupe Nationale

The result against the call

MC Oran and Olympique Akbou drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for MC Oran at 44% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave MC Oran a 22.8% chance to finish in the top two: 27.2% after a win, 19.3% after a draw, 16.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 19.3%, 3.5 points lower than before the match.

For Olympique Akbou the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 8.3% going in: 12.2% after a win, 8.4% after a draw, 5.9% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 8.4%.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on MC Oran v Olympique Akbou has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 45% / 28% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 44% / 31% / 25%: the biggest move is the draw, up 3 points.

  1. MC Oran win44%▼ −1
  2. Draw31%▲ +3
  3. Olympique Akbou win25%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.