7 November 2026, 17:45 UTC

Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy NB I prediction & result

Varkert Stadium, Kisvarda
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Kisvarda FC 0-1 Puskas Academy.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Kisvarda FC, 31% draw, 36% Puskas Academy — fair odds of 3.03, 3.23 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Puskas Academy at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kisvarda FC0%Draw3%Puskas Academy97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

37'
🔁Dániel Lukácsout: Urho Nissilä
45'
🔁Michael okekeout: Bence vekony
59'
🔁Z. Vargaout: Martin Kern
59'
🔁András Némethout: Lamin Colley
Besim Šerbečić
61'
🔁Dominik Soltészout: Teslim Abdulateef Balogun
62'
66'
⚽Urho Nissiläassist: Martin Kern
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun
70'
🔁Miroszláv Babjákout: Gennadiy Szikszai
73'
🔁Christián Hercout: Jasmin Mešanović
73'
•Jasmin Mešanović
75'
Jasmin Mešanović
76'
83'
•Bence vekony
🔁Hianga'a M'Bockout: Amos Youga
90'
🔁Bence Bíróout: Soma Novothny
90+1'
90+4'
🔁Palkó Dárdaiout: Bendegúz Farkas

Match stats — Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy

44%Possession56%
4Shots12
1On target4
3Corners0
0.4xG0.81

Goals against chances

Kisvarda FC0 from 0.40 xGabout what the chances were worth
Puskas Academy1 from 0.81 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Kisvarda FC 4-1-4-1
  • 23I. PopovichG
  • 55K. NagyD
  • 42T. LippaiD
  • 4M. ChlumeckýD
  • 10D. SoltészD
  • 80H. MbockM
  • 29B. BíróM
  • 14B. MelnykM
  • 24C. HercM
  • 37Miroslav BabjakM
  • 25B. ŠerbečićF
Substitutes
  • 22A. YougaM
  • 18K. KörmendiM
  • 1M. KovácsG
  • 27J. MešanovićF
  • 86S. NovothnyF
  • 8I. SoltészM
  • 70L. SzőrM
  • 99T. YordanovF
  • 77Ákos ÉsikF
Coach: A. Supka
Puskas Academy 4-4-2
  • 72B. LehoczkiG
  • 96R. OrjánD
  • 14W. GollaD
  • 21G. HarutyunyanD
  • 25Z. NagyD
  • 10P. DárdaiM
  • 6L. DuarteM
  • 66Z. VargaM
  • 4Michael OkekeM
  • 8D. LukacsF
  • 90A. NémethF
Substitutes
  • 74M. KernM
  • 18B. VekonyM
  • 9L. ColleyF
  • 20M. SoisaloF
  • 88B. FarkasD
  • 80Z. KrupaM
  • 24B. PálD
  • 16U. NissiläM
  • 77K. MondovicsF
Coach: L. Babó

Form going into Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy

Kisvarda FC

NB I

  • L0-1away to Budapest Honved31 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Zalaegerszegi TE24 October 2026
  • D1-1Ferencvarosi TC18 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Vasas10 October 2026

Puskas Academy

NB I

  • L1-3Debreceni VSC1 November 2026
  • L1-2Nyiregyhaza25 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Ujpest17 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Gyori ETO FC11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Kisvarda FC did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Kisvarda FC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Kisvarda FC had two goals or fewer.
  • Puskas Academy scored in every one of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Kisvarda FC132651215-312
1Puskas Academy138051815+324

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy

  • 31 July 2026Puskas Academy 0–2 Kisvarda FCNB I
  • 6 March 2026Kisvarda FC 1–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 22 November 2025Puskas Academy 2–0 Kisvarda FCNB I
  • 10 August 2025Kisvarda FC 2–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 4 May 2024Puskas Academy 4–2 Kisvarda FCNB I
  • 10 February 2024Kisvarda FC 0–2 Puskas AcademyNB I

Leading scorers: Kisvarda FC and Puskas Academy

Kisvarda FC

No player in NB I's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Puskas Academy

GoalsAssists

  • A. Németh52
  • P. Dárdai32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Puskas Academy won 1–0 at Kisvarda FC. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Puskas Academy at 36%. The goal: Urho Nissilä 66' for Puskas Academy. On expected goals it finished 0.40–0.81.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kisvarda FC a 32.7% chance to finish in the bottom two: 25.1% after a win, 33.7% after a draw, 38.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 38.7%, 6 points higher than before the match.

For Puskas Academy the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 27.8% going in: 33.9% after a win, 25.9% after a draw, 22.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 33.9%, 6.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our NB I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Kisvarda FC v Puskas Academy has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 30% / 31% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 33% / 31% / 36%: the biggest move is Kisvarda FC's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Kisvarda FC win33%▲ +3
  2. Draw31%=
  3. Puskas Academy win36%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.