7 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 Czech Liga prediction & result

Stadion U Nisy, Liberec
Referee: Jan Vsetecka
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Slovan Liberec 1-0 Bohemians 1905.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Slovan Liberec, 33% draw, 27% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 2.50, 3.03 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Slovan Liberec at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slovan Liberec98%Draw2%Bohemians 19050%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Alexandr Buzek
45+1'
48'
Petr Mirvald
56'
🔁Ladislav Krobotout: Ladislav Almási
56'
🔁Jan Matoušekout: Roman Kvet
56'
🔁Benson Sakalaout: Aleš Čermák
56'
🔁Šimon Černýout: Václav Pilař
🔁Alexandr Buzekout: Vojtěch Sychra
57'
🔁Petr Hodousout: Milan Lexa
64'
🔁Patrik Dulayout: Vojtech Stransky
64'
🔁Lukáš Masopustout: Enej Marsetic
64'
71'
Tomas Fruhwald
⚽Vasil Kušej (pen)
72'
76'
🔁Petr Mirvaldout: Jan Kovařík
🔁Vasil Kušejout: Augustin Drakpe
78'
Vojtech Stransky
90'
90+1'
Roman Kvet

Match stats — Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905

51%Possession49%
23Shots14
8On target5
7Corners5
2.27xG1.34

Goals against chances

Slovan Liberec1 from 2.27 xGless than the chances were worth
Bohemians 19050 from 1.34 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Slovan Liberec 4-2-3-1
  • 40T. KoubekG
  • 17P. JulišD
  • 3J. MikulaD
  • 29L. HůlkaD
  • 27A. KayondoD
  • 16A. BužekM
  • 8L. MasopustM
  • 24P. DulayM
  • 19V. KušejM
  • 5P. HodoušM
  • 9L. MašekF
Substitutes
  • 26J. BořilD
  • 14A. DrakpeD
  • 18J. KoželuhD
  • 15M. LexaM
  • 79E. MarsetičM
  • 25M. MikulenkaF
  • 33L. PešlG
  • 77D. RusM
  • 12V. StránskýM
Coach: B. Fodrek
Bohemians 1905 3-4-1-2
  • 23T. FrühwaldG
  • 25P. KareemD
  • 8D. HeidenreichD
  • 3Matej KadlecD
  • 15M. BandaM
  • 6B. SakalaM
  • 62Samuel ObinayaM
  • 32P. MirvaldM
  • 70Simon CernyM
  • 9L. KrobotF
  • 10J. MatoušekF
Substitutes
  • 71J. ŠimanG
  • 47A. ČermákM
  • 13V. ZemanF
  • 18D. ValaD
  • 12M. ReichlG
  • 11V. PilařM
  • 66Oliver MikudaM
  • 16R. KvětM
  • 19J. KovaříkM
Coach: J. Veselý

Form going into Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905

Slovan Liberec

Czech Liga

  • W2-1away to Pardubice31 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Sigma Olomouc17 October 2026
  • L0-2Slovácko11 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Artis19 September 2026

Bohemians 1905

Czech Liga

  • W2-1away to Artis4 November 2026
  • D0-0Sparta Praha1 November 2026
  • D2-2away to Zbrojovka Brno24 October 2026
  • W1-0Mlada Boleslav14 October 2026

What these results say

  • Slovan Liberec failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Slovan Liberec failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Slovan Liberec conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Bohemians 1905 went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Bohemians 1905 scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Slovan Liberec13823168+826
9Bohemians 1905145541515020

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905

  • 7 March 2026Bohemians 1905 0–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
  • 4 October 2025Slovan Liberec 0–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
  • 11 May 2025Slovan Liberec 1–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
  • 4 May 2025Bohemians 1905 4–1 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
  • 23 February 2025Bohemians 1905 0–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
  • 22 September 2024Slovan Liberec 2–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga

Leading scorers: Slovan Liberec and Bohemians 1905

Slovan Liberec

GoalsAssists

  • L. Mašek40

Bohemians 1905

GoalsAssists

  • A. Čermák52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slovan Liberec beat Bohemians 1905 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Slovan Liberec at 40%. The goal: Vasil Kušej (penalty) 72' for Slovan Liberec. On expected goals it finished 2.27–1.34.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bohemians 1905 a 81.6% chance to finish in the top ten: 88.8% after a win, 82.6% after a draw, 77.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 77.2%, 4.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.