17 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

Komárno vs Ružomberok Super Liga prediction & result

Referee: F. Glova
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Komárno 0-1 Ružomberok.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Komárno, 31% draw, 25% Ružomberok — fair odds of 2.27, 3.23 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Komárno at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Komárno0%Draw4%Ružomberok96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
⚽V. Hranosassist: J. Hladik
🔁R. Pillarout: M. Simko
37'
🔁A. Gavrylenkoout: G. Ganbayar
46'
🔁J. Sylvestrout: C. Bayemi
58'
61'
M. Bacik
🔁S. Smehylout: J. Palan
75'
🔁A. Masarykout: Matheus Leoni
75'
80'
🔁J. Hladikout: M. Koubek
80'
🔁A. Mojzisout: P. Jevos
84'
🔁A. Tucnyout: M. Boda
90+1'
🔁M. Bacikout: M. Kelemen
Matheus Leoni
90+2'

Line-ups

Komárno
  • 32B. Pindroch
  • 37A. Krcik
  • 21R. Pillar
  • 5D. Spiriak
  • 8S. Smehyl
  • 10K. Domonkos
  • 44A. Gavrylenko
  • 77A. Masaryk
  • 12D. Zak
  • 23J. Bernat
  • 9J. Sylvestr
Substitutes
  • 1F. Dlubac
  • 20Matheus Leoni
  • 3M. Simko
  • 18J. Palan
  • 7G. Ganbayar
  • 22N. Tamas
  • 17C. Bayemi
  • 55O. Akinwande
  • 28E. Oppong
Ružomberok
  • 1I. Krajcirik
  • 31D. Kostka
  • 16D. Kostl
  • 5T. Marusin
  • 2A. Mojzis
  • 28A. Selecky
  • 17A. Tucny
  • 4O. Luteran
  • 15M. Bacik
  • 14J. Hladik
  • 19V. Hranos
Substitutes
  • 34D. Huska
  • 25D. Grgic
  • 20M. Chobot
  • 22T. Buchvaldek
  • 30M. Boda
  • 9M. Koubek
  • 26M. Kelemen
  • 24P. Jevos
  • 6T. Mirko
Coach: Jaroslav Kostl

Form going into Komárno vs Ružomberok

Komárno

Super Liga

  • D1-1away to FK Košice10 October 2026

Ružomberok

Super Liga

  • D2-2Žilina11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Komárno142751317-413
10Ružomberok143381329-1612

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Komárno vs Ružomberok

  • 18 April 2026Ružomberok 2–1 KomárnoSuper Liga
  • 8 March 2026Komárno 3–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
  • 28 February 2026Komárno 1–1 RužomberokSuper Liga
  • 18 October 2025Ružomberok 0–1 KomárnoSuper Liga
  • 17 May 2025Komárno 1–2 RužomberokSuper Liga

The result against the call

Ružomberok won 1–0 at Komárno. The model had leaned towards a win for Komárno at 44% and given a win for Ružomberok 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: V. Hranos 20' for Ružomberok.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Komárno a 53.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 42.7% after a win, 58.5% after a draw, 68.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 68.4%, 15.3 points higher than before the match.

For Ružomberok the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 77.6% going in: 63.4% after a win, 76.8% after a draw, 85.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 63.4%, 14.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Komárno v Ružomberok has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 42% / 32% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 44% / 31% / 25%: the biggest move is Komárno's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Komárno win44%▲ +2
  2. Draw31%▼ −1
  3. Ružomberok win25%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.