31 October 2026, 18:30 UTC

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens Bundesliga prediction & result

Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
Referee: Christian-Petru Ciochirca
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Lask Linz 2-1 WSG Wattens.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% Lask Linz, 20% draw, 15% WSG Wattens — fair odds of 1.54, 5.00 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Lask Linz at 65%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lask Linz97%Draw3%WSG Wattens0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
Matthäus Taferner
7'
🔁Thomas Sabitzerout: Nikolai Baden Frederiksen
16'
⚽Moritz Wels
⚽Alessandro Schöpfassist: Robert Ljubicic
23'
28'
Drew murray
33'
David Kubatta
Xavier Mbuyamba
36'
⚽Robert Ljubicicassist: Samuel Adeniran
48'
João Victor Tornich
54'
🔁Robert Ljubicicout: Moses Usor
69'
🔁Samuel Adeniranout: Sascha Horvath
69'
69'
🔁Nikolai Baden Frederiksenout: Husein Balić
69'
🔁Matthäus Tafernerout: Nemanja Celic
69'
🔁Thomas Goigingerout: M. Olakigbe
73'
Moritz Oswald
74'
M. Olakigbe
🔁João Victor Tornichout: Miguel Freckleton
80'
🔁Daniel Elfadliout: Yvan Dibango
80'
86'
🔁Moritz Welsout: Lukas Hinterseer

Match stats — Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens

54%Possession46%
16Shots10
5On target4
1Corners2
1.91xG0.63

Goals against chances

Lask Linz2 from 1.91 xGabout what the chances were worth
WSG Wattens1 from 0.63 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Lask Linz 5-3-2
  • 1L. JungwirthG
  • 29F. FleckerD
  • 4X. MbuyambaD
  • 43AlemãoD
  • 16A. AndradeD
  • 6M. BogardeD
  • 10R. LjubičićM
  • 23Daniel ElfadliM
  • 18A. SchöpfM
  • 27C. LangF
  • 7S. AdeniranF
Substitutes
  • 25Y. DibangoD
  • 3M. FreckletonD
  • 30S. HorvathM
  • 45N. KaneF
  • 20K. JørgensenD
  • 33T. SchützenauerG
  • 5A. SmakajM
  • 8M. UsorF
  • 21M. VerhaegheD
Coach: D. Kühbauer
WSG Wattens 4-2-3-1
  • 1S. HamzićG
  • 5D. MurrayD
  • 23M. BorasD
  • 14D. KubattaD
  • 28M. OswaldD
  • 6Marc StriednigM
  • 30M. TafernerM
  • 36T. GoigingerM
  • 37M. WelsM
  • 11M. ŞatinM
  • 10T. SabitzerF
Substitutes
  • 18H. BalićF
  • 43N. ČelićM
  • 13A. EckmayrG
  • 32Raphael GschösserM
  • 3D. GugganigD
  • 16L. HinterseerF
  • 27D. JauneggD
  • 17M. OlakigbeF
  • 8N. FrederiksenF
Coach: P. Semlic

Form going into Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens

Lask Linz

Bundesliga

  • L1-3Red Bull Salzburg25 October 2026
  • W4-0away to Austria Lustenau17 October 2026
  • L0-2Rapid Vienna11 October 2026

WSG Wattens

Bundesliga

  • D1-1Grazer AK24 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Wolfsberger AC18 October 2026
  • L1-2Ried10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Lask Linz128133015+1525
7WSG Wattens123451518-313

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens

  • 7 February 2026Lask Linz 1–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
  • 10 August 2025WSG Wattens 3–1 Lask LinzBundesliga
  • 3 May 2025WSG Wattens 1–3 Lask LinzBundesliga
  • 18 April 2025Lask Linz 2–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
  • 9 March 2025Lask Linz 2–1 WSG WattensBundesliga
  • 20 October 2024WSG Wattens 1–2 Lask LinzBundesliga

Leading scorers: Lask Linz and WSG Wattens

Lask Linz

GoalsAssists

  • C. Lang80
  • S. Adeniran62
  • M. Usor33

WSG Wattens

GoalsAssists

  • N. Frederiksen50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Lask Linz beat WSG Wattens 2–1. The model had made a win for Lask Linz its most likely outcome, at 65%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Moritz Wels 16' for WSG Wattens, Alessandro Schöpf 23' for Lask Linz, Robert Ljubicic 48' for Lask Linz. On expected goals it finished 1.91–0.63.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave WSG Wattens a 19.4% chance to finish in the top six: 32.0% after a win, 22.2% after a draw, 15.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.8%, 3.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Lask Linz v WSG Wattens has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 67% / 19% / 14% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 65% / 20% / 15%: the biggest move is Lask Linz's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Lask Linz win65%▼ −2
  2. Draw20%▲ +1
  3. WSG Wattens win15%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.