31 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

SCR Altach vs Ried Bundesliga prediction & result

Cashpoint-Arena, Altach
Referee: Julian Schnur
Full time1 – 1

Final score: SCR Altach 1-1 Ried.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% SCR Altach, 29% draw, 36% Ried — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ried at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SCR Altach0%Draw4%Ried96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

57'
🔁Stefan Schwabout: Martin Rasner
61'
Samuel Chukwudi
🔁Rodney Elongo-Yomboout: srdan hristic
66'
🔁Niklas Niehoffout: Johannes Naschberger
66'
72'
🔁Niama Sissokoout: Isaac Thelin
72'
🔁Jussef Nasraweout: Moegamat Yusuf Maart
Benjamin·Bockle
75'
77'
⚽Isaac Thelinassist: Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer
83'
🔁Luka Capanout: Philipp Pomer
83'
🔁Evan Eghosa Aisowierenout: Joris Boguo
🔁Yanis Eisschillout: N. Helbock
83'
🔁Benjamin·Bockleout: Erkin Yalcin
83'
⚽srdan hristicassist: Yann massombo
90+1'

Match stats — SCR Altach vs Ried

52%Possession48%
17Shots11
4On target3
4Corners6
1.38xG0.56

Goals against chances

SCR Altach1 from 1.38 xGabout what the chances were worth
Ried1 from 0.56 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

SCR Altach 3-4-3
  • 1D. StojanovicG
  • 17L. JägerD
  • 27Filip MilojevicD
  • 16R. RahmaniD
  • 29N. NiehoffM
  • 22Y. EisschillM
  • 8M. BähreM
  • 37B. BöckleM
  • 28Y. MassomboF
  • 10O. DiawaraF
  • 39R. Elongo-YomboF
Substitutes
  • 31D. AntoschG
  • 21Jakob BrandtnerD
  • 19S. HrstićF
  • 14J. NaschbergerM
  • 30E. ScherfG
  • 20Erkin YalcinF
  • 34A. VonbrulM
  • 35N. HelbockF
  • 3Halil Esref BasarD
Coach: O. Zaric
Ried 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. LeitnerG
  • 5D. RadonjicD
  • 28S. ChukwudiD
  • 30O. SteurerD
  • 29L. CapanD
  • 4L. MalicsekM
  • 22S. SchwabM
  • 18F. RossdorferM
  • 10J. NasraweM
  • 47Evan Eghosa AisowierenM
  • 9N. SissokoF
Substitutes
  • 8M. RasnerM
  • 11J. RhodesM
  • 17P. PomerM
  • 6Y. MaartM
  • 19T. Lund JensenM
  • 21T. KusanovicF
  • 13H. HankičG
  • 92I. Kiese ThelinF
  • 15J. BoguoF
Coach: M. Despotović

Form going into SCR Altach vs Ried

SCR Altach

Bundesliga

  • W2-1Austria Vienna23 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Red Bull Salzburg18 October 2026
  • W3-0Wolfsberger AC11 October 2026

Ried

Bundesliga

  • D2-2away to Sturm Graz25 October 2026
  • W3-2Austria Vienna17 October 2026
  • W2-1away to WSG Wattens10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9SCR Altach123181120-910
6Ried124442122-116

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SCR Altach vs Ried

  • 16 May 2026SCR Altach 2–0 RiedBundesliga
  • 3 April 2026Ried 3–2 SCR AltachBundesliga
  • 13 December 2025Ried 3–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
  • 9 August 2025SCR Altach 1–0 RiedBundesliga
  • 19 May 2023Ried 0–1 SCR AltachBundesliga
  • 22 April 2023SCR Altach 1–1 RiedBundesliga

Leading scorers: SCR Altach and Ried

SCR Altach

No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Ried

GoalsAssists

  • S. Schwab42
  • P. Pomer41
  • I. Kiese Thelin40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SCR Altach and Ried drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Ried at 36% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Isaac Thelin 77' for Ried, srdan hristic 90+1' for SCR Altach. On expected goals it finished 1.38–0.56.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SCR Altach a 28.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 18.9% after a win, 30.4% after a draw, 37.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 30.4%, 1.7 points higher than before the match.

For Ried the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 75.5% going in: 85.9% after a win, 75.2% after a draw, 67.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 75.2%.

Read from our Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on SCR Altach v Ried has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 37% / 29% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 35% / 29% / 36%: the biggest move is SCR Altach's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. SCR Altach win35%▼ −2
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Ried win36%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.