13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC UEFA Europa League prediction & result

GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Lincoln Red Imps FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 79% Omonia Nicosia, 13% draw, 8% Lincoln Red Imps FC — fair odds of 1.27, 7.69 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Omonia Nicosia at 79% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Omonia Nicosia97%Draw3%Lincoln Red Imps FC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽L. Dionyassist: M. Tankovic
21'
34'
Y. Flalhi Idrissi
🔁J. Montnorout: A. Chatzigiovanis
61'
64'
🔁N. Pintoout: A. Mula
64'
🔁M. Toledanoout: A. El Ghobashy
🔁L. Dionyout: A. Kakoullis
71'
🔁M. Tankovicout: M. Mayambela
71'
🔁L. Negoout: A. Christou
71'
72'
🔁Y. Flalhi Idrissiout: K. Gomez
🔁Ewandroout: A. Neofytou
84'
84'
🔁Joeout: L. Mason
84'
🔁F. Alvarezout: E. Britto
85'
E. Britto
88'
B. Lopes
90+1'
A. El Ghobashy

Line-ups

Omonia Nicosia
  • 40Fabiano Freitas
  • 5S. Coulibaly
  • 30N. Panagiotou
  • 29J. Balkovec
  • 77L. Nego
  • 14M. Maric
  • 22M. Tankovic
  • 74P. Andreou
  • 7J. Montnor
  • 99L. Diony
  • 11Ewandro
Substitutes
  • 23F. Uzoho
  • 78P. Michail
  • 6C. Eiting
  • 9A. Kakoullis
  • 10A. Chatzigiovanis
  • 21M. Mayambela
  • 27S. Simic
  • 31I. Kousoulos
  • 82A. Christou
Coach: Henning Berg
Lincoln Red Imps FC
  • 1Nauzet Santana
  • 5T. Cardozo
  • 3C. Rutjens
  • 6B. Lopes
  • 2E. Jolley
  • 23Joe
  • 66J. Eersteling
  • 4N. Pinto
  • 32F. Alvarez
  • 19Y. Flalhi Idrissi
  • 44M. Toledano
Substitutes
  • 13J. Hankins
  • 27M. Hamm
  • 7L. Casciaro
  • 8Mandi
  • 9K. Gomez
  • 10A. Mula
  • 16L. Mason
  • 20E. Britto
  • 21Nano
Coach: Juan Bezares

Form going into Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

Omonia Nicosia

  • D1-1away to Lincoln Red Imps FC6 August 2026

Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • D1-1Omonia Nicosia6 August 2026
  • D0-0Mjallby AIF28 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Mjallby AIF21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Omonia Nicosia and Lincoln Red Imps FC in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
6Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League110010+13

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Lincoln Red Imps FC has not started the league season yet. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · UEFA Europa Conference League

Head-to-head: Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • 13 August 2026Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa League
  • 6 August 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–1 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.