18 October 2026, 12:30 UTC

ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie I Liga prediction & result

Lodz
Referee: F. Kaliszewski
Full time1 – 0

Final score: ŁKS Łódź 1-0 Podbeskidzie.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% ŁKS Łódź, 27% draw, 25% Podbeskidzie — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

ŁKS Łódź at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

ŁKS Łódź5%Draw92%Podbeskidzie3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

S. Karasinski
14'
17'
J. Majsterek
M. Kaput
40'
51'
🔁M. Sitekout: B. Martosz
56'
L. Klisiewicz
🔁S. Karasinskiout: D. Sokol
57'
64'
🔁O. Sewerzynskiout: K. Gach
64'
🔁T. Hirosawaout: A. Iwanczyk
🔁M. Wysokinskiout: K. Nowakowski
70'
🔁L. Szczygielout: K. Podlinski
70'
S. Rudol
73'
80'
🔁L. Klisiewiczout: Y. Shikavka
80'
🔁M. Rakoczyout: K. Smolinski
🔁M. Kaputout: K. Terlecki
80'
🔁J. Keiblingerout: I. Strzalek
80'
85'
A. Iwanczyk
⚽K. Podlinski
90+1'

Form going into ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie

ŁKS Łódź

I Liga

  • L0-2Ruch Chorzów11 October 2026

Podbeskidzie

I Liga

  • W1-0Pogoń Siedlce9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2ŁKS Łódź147431712+525
15Podbeskidzie142931720-315

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie

  • 21 April 2023ŁKS Łódź 2–1 PodbeskidzieI Liga
  • 18 September 2022Podbeskidzie 1–1 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga
  • 1 April 2022Podbeskidzie 1–1 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga
  • 18 September 2021ŁKS Łódź 1–2 PodbeskidzieI Liga
  • 29 March 2019ŁKS Łódź 3–0 PodbeskidzieI Liga
  • 19 September 2018Podbeskidzie 0–3 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga

The result against the call

ŁKS Łódź beat Podbeskidzie 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for ŁKS Łódź at 48%. The goal: K. Podlinski 90+1' for ŁKS Łódź.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave ŁKS Łódź a 24.1% chance to finish in the top four: 27.9% after a win, 21.1% after a draw, 16.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 27.9%, 3.8 points higher than before the match.

For Podbeskidzie the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 20.8% going in: 13.9% after a win, 20.0% after a draw, 23.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.8%, 3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our I Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.