Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor 1. Lig prediction & result
Final score: Manisa F.K. 2-1 Batman Petrolspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Manisa F.K., 24% draw, 36% Batman Petrolspor — fair odds of 2.50, 4.17 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Manisa F.K. at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1V. KarakuşG
- 17Osman KahramanD
- 5C. HérelleD
- 27Y. GürelerD
- 3O. KaynakD
- 60B. TouréM
- 6A. ÇankayaM
- 10J. LindsethM
- 23J. AnzianiM
- 20Y. BenrahouF
- 9C. SyllaF
- 21E. AkboğaM
- 8K. ArıkM
- 24Y. DursunM
- 45Ada IbikD
- 4F. İnalD
- 2Yunus Emre KöseD
- 11N. LeminaM
- 96B. TibukogluD
- 70A. VargasF
- 13B. TetikG
- 72P. YaldırD
- 4M. MertD
- 21DóriaD
- 27Ö. ArtanD
- 34M. CissokhoM
- 77BennyM
- 8O. GürbulakM
- 10PedrinhoM
- 7M. BironM
- 79G. AltıparmakF
- 18Karan TopdemirF
- 3Y. SubaşıD
- 17G. KaradenizM
- 11O. ImeriF
- 84A. GurylevD
- 15DavidF
- 46Devran BozardicD
- 5E. AydoğanM
- 53M. AlbayrakD
Form going into Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor
Manisa F.K.
1. Lig
- L1-2away to Mardin 196926 October 2026
- L3-4Muğlaspor19 October 2026
- D1-1Esenler Erokspor15 October 2026
Batman Petrolspor
1. Lig
- W3-2Esenler Erokspor25 October 2026
- D2-2away to Kayserispor18 October 2026
- W4-2İstanbulspor14 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
1. Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 24 | +3 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor
- 22 April 2018Manisa F.K. 2–1 Batman Petrolspor3. Lig - Group 1
- 3 December 2017Batman Petrolspor 1–1 Manisa F.K.3. Lig - Group 1
- 10 March 2017Batman Petrolspor 2–1 Manisa F.K.3. Lig - Group 3
- 30 October 2016Manisa F.K. 2–1 Batman Petrolspor3. Lig - Group 3
Leading scorers: Manisa F.K. and Batman Petrolspor
Manisa F.K.
GoalsAssists
- J. Anziani81
- C. Sylla72
Batman Petrolspor
GoalsAssists
- Pedrinho50
- M. Biron42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Manisa F.K. beat Batman Petrolspor 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Manisa F.K. at 40%. The goals: Pedrinho 16' for Batman Petrolspor, Cheikne Sylla 34' for Manisa F.K., Cheikne Sylla 63' for Manisa F.K.. On expected goals it finished 2.67–1.76.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Manisa F.K. a 36.5% chance to finish in the bottom four: 29.6% after a win, 37.5% after a draw, 42.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 29.6%, 6.9 points lower than before the match.
For Batman Petrolspor the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 7.1% going in: 8.8% after a win, 5.7% after a draw, 5.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 5.3%, 1.8 points lower than before the match.
Read from our 1. Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Manisa F.K. v Batman Petrolspor has moved
First published on 17 Oct at 44% / 24% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 40% / 24% / 36%: the biggest move is Manisa F.K.'s chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Manisa F.K. win40%▼ −4
- Draw24%=
- Batman Petrolspor win36%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.