Volos NFC vs Kifisia Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Volos NFC 1-3 Kifisia.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Volos NFC, 29% draw, 38% Kifisia — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Kifisia at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Volos NFC vs Kifisia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. SiampanisG
- 28S. KatsikasD
- 22G. MigasD
- 4G. KargasD
- 13Q. LecoeucheD
- 91Y. NeyouM
- 17V. GrosdisM
- 10JocaM
- 8M. CombaM
- 7L. LamprouM
- 9Jan HurtadoF
- 21M. GonzálezM
- 5R. CabellaM
- 49G. CharalampoglouF
- 15H. EssaoubiD
- 30A. GaravelasF
- 20Xesc RegisF
- 89F. RefatllariM
- 18R. Pierre-GabrielD
- 82Athanasios Papathanasiou GerofokoasG
- 99M. RamírezG
- 48Tiago MansoD
- 34C. JoliboisD
- 24R. van EijmaD
- 2K. ApostolakisD
- 19I. JagneM
- 17K. RoukounakisM
- 28Á. SagalM
- 6Jorge PomboM
- 11Jordi MboulaM
- 72A. ChristópoulosF
- 31I. KousoulosM
- 9Dimitris TheodoridisF
- 8Bernardo MartinsM
- 10Gerson SousaF
- 1F. RobertsG
- 5A. PetkovD
- 44Vangelis ManganasM
- 18G. KyriopoulosF
- 21Nektarios KaloskamisD
Form going into Volos NFC vs Kifisia
Volos NFC
Super League 1
- L0-3away to Atromitos2 November 2026
- L0-1Panathinaikos25 October 2026
- D0-0away to Levadiakos17 October 2026
- L2-3away to Aris Thessalonikis11 October 2026
Kifisia
Super League 1
- L2-3Olympiakos Piraeus31 October 2026
- W3-2away to Iraklis 190824 October 2026
- L1-2Aris Thessalonikis18 October 2026
- W2-0Panetolikos11 October 2026
What these results say
- Volos NFC did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Volos NFC failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Volos NFC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kifisia scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Kifisia conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Kifisia had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Volos NFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 0 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Volos NFC vs Kifisia
- 15 March 2026Kifisia 2–0 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 6 January 2026Volos NFC 0–1 KifisiaCup
- 6 December 2025Volos NFC 1–1 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 30 March 2024Volos NFC 4–1 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 11 February 2024Kifisia 3–0 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 28 October 2023Volos NFC 2–1 KifisiaSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Volos NFC and Kifisia
Volos NFC
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Kifisia
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Pombo42
- Á. Sagal41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kifisia won 3–1 at Volos NFC. The model had made a win for Kifisia its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Jan Hurtado 4' for Volos NFC, Apóstolos Christópoulos 27' for Kifisia, Ángelo Sagal 72' for Kifisia, Ángelo Sagal 90' for Kifisia. On expected goals it finished 0.57–1.18.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Volos NFC a 90.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 86.2% after a win, 91.2% after a draw, 93.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 93.9%, 3.8 points higher than before the match.
For Kifisia the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 14.7% going in: 9.5% after a win, 15.4% after a draw, 19.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 9.5%, 5.2 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Super League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Volos NFC v Kifisia has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 35% / 30% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 33% / 29% / 38%: the biggest move is Kifisia's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Volos NFC win33%▼ −2
- Draw29%▼ −1
- Kifisia win38%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.