Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Mjallby AIF 2-0 Borac Banja Luka.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Mjallby AIF, 29% draw, 26% Borac Banja Luka — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Mjallby AIF at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 35Alexander LundinG
- 33Tony MiettinenD
- 4Axel NorénD
- 5Abdullah IqbalD
- 25Max NielsenM
- 39Romeo LeanderssonM
- 22Jesper GustavssonM
- 14Villiam GranathM
- 10Jeppe KjaerF
- 7Viktor GustafsonF
- 18Jacob BergströmF
- 6Mads EnggårdM
- 26Ian HoffmannD
- 23Áki SamuelsenF
- 1Sebastian HansenG
- 13Robin WallinderG
- 27Ludvig TidstrandM
- 2Ludvig SvanbergD
- 24Tom PetterssonD
- 8Teo HelgeM
- 72Mladen JurkasG
- 4Branimir CipetićD
- 2Bart MeijersD
- 6Siniša SaničaninD
- 16Sebastian HerreraD
- 12Amer HirošM
- 18Miloš JojićM
- 44Ante RoguljićM
- 89Matej DeketM
- 77Stefan SavićM
- 7Luka JuričićF
- 10David VukovićF
- 23Stojan VranješM
- 99Daniel RomeraF
- 1Damjan SiskovskiG
- 21Nikola ĆetkovićG
- 24Jurich CarolinaD
- 3Abel PascualD
- 19Viktor RoganD
- 20Erik RiđanD
Form going into Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka
Mjallby AIF
UEFA Europa Conference League
- D1-1away to FC Iberia 199922 October 2026
- W2-0Inter Club d'Escaldes15 October 2026
Borac Banja Luka
UEFA Europa Conference League
- W2-0KuPS22 October 2026
- L1-2away to Panathinaikos15 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mjallby AIF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 21 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Mjallby AIF beat Borac Banja Luka 2–0. The model had made a win for Mjallby AIF its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: J. Bergstrom 54' for Mjallby AIF, M. Enggaard 88' for Mjallby AIF. On expected goals it finished 1.68–1.45.
How the call on Mjallby AIF v Borac Banja Luka has moved
First published on 23 Oct at 31% / 28% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 45% / 29% / 26%: the biggest move is Borac Banja Luka's chance of winning, down 15 points.
- Mjallby AIF win45%▲ +14
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Borac Banja Luka win26%▼ −15
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Mjallby AIF's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) and Borac Banja Luka's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.