Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Monaco 2-0 FC Nordsjaelland.
Before kick-off the model made it 65% Monaco, 21% draw, 14% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 1.54, 4.76 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Monaco at 65%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Lukáš HrádeckýG
- 49Ilane TouréD
- 4Jordan TezeD
- 15Eric DierD
- 13Christian MawissaD
- 18Takumi MinaminoM
- 6Denis ZakariaM
- 37Edan DiopM
- 7Mathys DetourbetM
- 9Folarin BalogunF
- 29Paris BrunnerF
- 2VandersonD
- 72Sadibou SanéD
- 10Aleksandr GolovinM
- 16Philipp KöhnG
- 40Jules StawieckiG
- 20NazinhoD
- 22Mohammed SalisuD
- 8Lamine CamaraM
- 19Pape CabralM
- 13Andreas HansenG
- 25Victor NelssonD
- 3Tobias SalquistD
- 4Noah MarkmannD
- 28Markus WalkerM
- 21Malte HeydeM
- 6Mark BrinkM
- 5Juho LähteenmäkiM
- 9Ola SolbakkenF
- 37Lamine SadioF
- 29Villum BerthelsenF
- 14Ibrahim AdelF
- 10Prince Amoako JuniorF
- 16Jakob BuskG
- 22Carljohan ErikssonG
- 35Villads RutkjærD
- 32Victor GustafsenD
- 15Stephen AcquahD
- 2Peter AnkersenD
- 40Hjalte Boe RasmussenM
Form going into Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland
Monaco
UEFA Europa Conference League
- W3-0SC Freiburg22 October 2026
- W2-1away to CSKA Sofia15 October 2026
FC Nordsjaelland
UEFA Europa Conference League
- D2-2CSKA Sofia22 October 2026
- D1-1away to Heart of Midlothian15 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 25 | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Monaco and FC Nordsjaelland
Monaco
GoalsAssists
- Paris Josua Brunner41
FC Nordsjaelland
GoalsAssists
- N. Røjkjær42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Monaco beat FC Nordsjaelland 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Monaco at 65%. The goals: M. Detourbet 33' for Monaco, M. Abline 90+1' for Monaco. On expected goals it finished 2.37–0.05.
How the call on Monaco v FC Nordsjaelland has moved
First published on 23 Oct at 63% / 22% / 15% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 65% / 21% / 14%: the biggest move is Monaco's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Monaco win65%▲ +2
- Draw21%▼ −1
- FC Nordsjaelland win14%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Monaco's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) and FC Nordsjaelland's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.