Mjallby AIF vs IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Mjallby AIF 0-1 IF Elfsborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Mjallby AIF, 19% draw, 21% IF Elfsborg — fair odds of 1.67, 5.26 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Mjallby AIF at 60% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mjallby AIF vs IF Elfsborg
Line-ups
- 13Robin WallinderG
- 33Tony MiettinenD
- 2Ludvig SvanbergD
- 4Axel NorénD
- 26Ian HoffmannM
- 39Romeo LeanderssonM
- 5Abdullah IqbalM
- 3Martin AgnarssonM
- 23Áki SamuelsenF
- 9Ali YoussefF
- 29Olle LindbergF
- 30Melker AhlstrandG
- 35Alexander LundinG
- 27Ludvig TidstrandM
- 24Tom PetterssonD
- 31Philip AbrahamssonM
- 28Isak AndersenM
- 14Villiam GranathM
- 10Jeppe KjaerM
- 18Jacob BergströmF
- 31Isak PetterssonG
- 16Alexander JensenD
- 8Sebastian HolménD
- 4Thomas IsherwoodD
- 23Niklas HultD
- 18Julius MagnussonM
- 19Julius BeckM
- 10Simon OlssonM
- 29Momoh Ibrahim KamaraF
- 21Leo ÖstmanF
- 9Arbër ZeneliF
- 12Theo SanderG
- 2Rufai MohammedD
- 28Frode AronssonD
- 6Rasmus WikströmD
- 5Sven Ossian NordvallM
- 15Simon HedlundM
- 24Frederik IhlerF
- 25Ari SigurpálssonF
- 22Dion KrasniqiF
Form going into Mjallby AIF vs IF Elfsborg
Mjallby AIF
- L1-2Slovan Bratislava4 August 2026
- D0-0away to Lincoln Red Imps FC28 July 2026
- L1-2away to Kalmar FF25 July 2026
- W3-0Lincoln Red Imps FC21 July 2026
- D0-0Vasteras SK FK17 July 2026
IF Elfsborg
- W2-1away to Malmo FF26 July 2026
- L1-3Sirius19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 22 |
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | +8 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mjallby AIF vs IF Elfsborg
- 8 August 2026Mjallby AIF 0–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 21 May 2026IF Elfsborg 1–1 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
- 4 October 2025Mjallby AIF 2–0 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 19 June 2025IF Elfsborg 0–1 Mjallby AIFFriendlies Clubs
- 30 March 2025IF Elfsborg 2–2 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
- 18 August 2024Mjallby AIF 1–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Mjallby AIF and IF Elfsborg
Mjallby AIF
- J. Bergström9 goals
IF Elfsborg
- L. Ãstman6 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.