Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Mjallby AIF 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Mjallby AIF, 26% draw, 29% Inter Club d'Escaldes — fair odds of 2.22, 3.85 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Mjallby AIF at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 35Alexander LundinG
- 33Tony MiettinenD
- 4Axel NorénD
- 5Abdullah IqbalD
- 14Villiam GranathM
- 10Jeppe KjaerM
- 22Jesper GustavssonM
- 6Mads EnggårdM
- 3Martin AgnarssonM
- 7Viktor GustafsonF
- 18Jacob BergströmF
- 23Áki SamuelsenF
- 29Olle LindbergM
- 27Ludvig TidstrandM
- 24Tom PetterssonD
- 1Sebastian HansenG
- 13Robin WallinderG
- 2Ludvig SvanbergD
- 26Ian HoffmannD
- 39Romeo LeanderssonM
- 13Javier DíazG
- 24Maurizio PochettinoD
- 4Álex SánchezD
- 2Anwar HernandezD
- 3Jilmar TorresD
- 6Víctor AlonsoM
- 11Domi BerlangaM
- 19Pablo MolinaM
- 8David LópezM
- 31Soule SidibeM
- 9Faysal ChouaibF
- 70Borja ArellanoF
- 18Robin LafargeD
- 23Lamine DiabyD
- 17Adrian Da CunhaD
- 99RafinhaF
- 1Pol FreixanetG
- 21Marc RodríguezD
- 7Juan CamaraM
- 44Alex LeitaoF
Form going into Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
Mjallby AIF
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Degerfors IF10 October 2026
- L0-3Gais20 September 2026
- D1-1away to AIK Stockholm16 September 2026
- D1-1away to BK Hacken11 September 2026
- L1-4IFK Goteborg7 September 2026
Inter Club d'Escaldes
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Drita27 August 2026
- D2-2away to Drita20 August 2026
- W4-0away to Flora Tallinn13 August 2026
- W2-0Flora Tallinn6 August 2026
What these results say
- Mjallby AIF did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Mjallby AIF conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Mjallby AIF scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Inter Club d'Escaldes went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Inter Club d'Escaldes scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Inter Club d'Escaldes kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mjallby AIF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Mjallby AIF beat Inter Club d'Escaldes 2–0. The model had made a win for Mjallby AIF its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: J. Bergstrom 54' for Mjallby AIF, A. Noren 65' for Mjallby AIF. On expected goals it finished 1.45–0.46.
How the call on Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes has moved
First published on 1 Oct at 42% / 27% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 45% / 26% / 29%: the biggest move is Mjallby AIF's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Mjallby AIF win45%▲ +3
- Draw26%▼ −1
- Inter Club d'Escaldes win29%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.