Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Panathinaikos 2-1 Borac Banja Luka.
Before kick-off the model made it 67% Panathinaikos, 21% draw, 12% Borac Banja Luka — fair odds of 1.49, 4.76 and 8.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Panathinaikos at 67%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 2Davide CalabriaD
- 6Stefan de VrijD
- 55Rick Van DrongelenD
- 77Georgios KyriakopoulosD
- 42Kings KangwaM
- 22Etienne CamaraM
- 20Vicente TabordaM
- 21Azzedine OunahiM
- 10Santino AndinoM
- 9Cyriel DessersF
- 7Andreas TettehF
- 99Levi GarcíaF
- 8Adriano JagušićM
- 74Elmin RastoderF
- 70Konstantinos KotsarisG
- 71Christos GitonasG
- 14Erik Palmer BrownD
- 19Triantafyllos TsaprasM
- 34Victor KristiansenD
- 72Mladen JurkasG
- 4Branimir CipetićD
- 2Bart MeijersD
- 6Siniša SaničaninD
- 16Sebastian HerreraD
- 98Sandi OgrinecM
- 18Miloš JojićM
- 44Ante RoguljićM
- 12Amer HirošM
- 77Stefan SavićM
- 7Luka JuričićF
- 19Viktor RoganD
- 89Matej DeketF
- 10David VukovićF
- 23Stojan VranješM
- 1Damjan SiskovskiG
- 3Abel PascualD
- 20Erik RiđanD
- 24Jurich CarolinaD
- 13Anderson EsitiM
Form going into Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka
Panathinaikos
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Olympiakos Piraeus11 October 2026
- W1-0away to Kalamata20 September 2026
- W3-0Panetolikos13 September 2026
- W3-1Kifisia10 September 2026
- W3-1PAOK6 September 2026
Borac Banja Luka
All competitions we cover
- W2-0BSK Banja Luka10 October 2026
- W3-1Vikingur Reykjavik27 August 2026
- W3-1away to Vikingur Reykjavik20 August 2026
- L0-1away to ML Vitebsk13 August 2026
- W1-0ML Vitebsk6 August 2026
What these results say
- Panathinaikos won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Borac Banja Luka won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Borac Banja Luka scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 21 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka
- 3 October 2024Borac Banja Luka 1–1 PanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka
Panathinaikos
GoalsAssists
- C. Dessers60
Borac Banja Luka
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Panathinaikos beat Borac Banja Luka 2–1. The model had made a win for Panathinaikos its most likely outcome, at 67%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: C. Dessers (penalty) 10' for Panathinaikos, K. Kangwa 70' for Panathinaikos, M. Jojic 80' for Borac Banja Luka. On expected goals it finished 3.80–0.23.
How the call on Panathinaikos v Borac Banja Luka has moved
First published on 1 Oct at 77% / 15% / 8% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 67% / 21% / 12%: the biggest move is Panathinaikos's chance of winning, down 10 points.
- Panathinaikos win67%▼ −10
- Draw21%▲ +6
- Borac Banja Luka win12%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Panathinaikos's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) and Borac Banja Luka's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.