St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: St. Truiden 2-0 FC Iberia 1999.
Before kick-off the model made it 74% St. Truiden, 17% draw, 9% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 1.35, 5.88 and 11.11.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
St. Truiden at 74%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16L. KokuboG
- 60R. VanwesemaelD
- 5S. TaniguchiD
- 26V. MusliuD
- 23J. PupeD
- 8A. SissakoM
- 18N. IshiwatariM
- 11N. MbukuM
- 14R. MerlenM
- 10I. SebaouiM
- 9S. BazdarF
- 21M. LendfersG
- 35Y. NgoyG
- 33A. DirikenM
- 27J. MbambiD
- 4K. TakaiD
- 3T. HataD
- 71R. ArakiM
- 38K. MatsuzawaF
- 22W. JanssensD
- 31G. MakaridzeG
- 25A. AmisulashviliD
- 3P. CancarD
- 4V. SelimovicD
- 5J. JinjolavaD
- 18Lucas CafeM
- 6N. DadianiM
- 8B. KardavaM
- 10Z. NatchkebiaM
- 9A. DzaganiaF
- 19N. SikharulashviliF
- 1T. MegrelishviliG
- 16R. KurtanidzeG
- 40G. KobuladzeM
- 33J. TiboueD
- 22S. FigueredoD
- 30N. BochorishviliD
- 27G. KutsiaM
- 14I. AlhassanM
- 23E. KuliyevM
Form going into St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999
St. Truiden
All competitions we cover
- L3-4away to KV Mechelen11 October 2026
- L0-2KVC Westerlo20 September 2026
- L0-2away to SK Beveren12 September 2026
- W4-0RAAL La Louvière5 September 2026
- L0-3Union St. Gilloise2 September 2026
FC Iberia 1999
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Meshakhte10 October 2026
- L1-2Dinamo Tbilisi4 October 2026
- W2-0away to Rustavi21 September 2026
- W2-1Dila17 September 2026
- W1-0Spaeri13 September 2026
What these results say
- St. Truiden failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- St. Truiden conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Iberia 1999 scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Iberia 1999 won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | St. Truiden | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
St. Truiden beat FC Iberia 1999 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for St. Truiden at 74%. The goals: R. Vanwesemael 11' for St. Truiden, I. Sebaoui 88' for St. Truiden. On expected goals it finished 1.73–0.15.
How the call on St. Truiden v FC Iberia 1999 has moved
First published on 1 Oct at 64% / 22% / 14% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 74% / 17% / 9%: the biggest move is St. Truiden's chance of winning, up 10 points.
- St. Truiden win74%▲ +10
- Draw17%▼ −5
- FC Iberia 1999 win9%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.