2 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF Allsvenskan prediction & result

Strandvallen, Hallevik
Referee: Richard Sundell
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Mjallby AIF 0-0 Kalmar FF.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Mjallby AIF, 28% draw, 24% Kalmar FF — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Mjallby AIF at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mjallby AIF4%Draw93%Kalmar FF3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
🔁vilmer tyrenout: Kasper Paananen
Jeppe Kjaer Jensen
20'
Abdullah Iqbal
26'
🔁Tom Petterssonout: Mads Enggard
45'
57'
🔁Charles Sagoe Jrout: Noah Shamoun
57'
🔁Aboubacar Keitaout: Alexander Almqvist
🔁Áki Samuelsenout: Ali Youssef
68'
🔁Max Nielsenout: Ludvig Tidstrand
77'
Tony Miettinen
79'
🔁Jeppe Kjaer Jensenout: Olle Lindberg
86'

Match stats — Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF

51%Possession49%
16Shots8
2On target4
4Corners6
0.79xG0.51

Goals against chances

Mjallby AIF0 from 0.79 xGless than the chances were worth
Kalmar FF0 from 0.51 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Mjallby AIF 3-4-3
  • 35A. LundinG
  • 33T. MiettinenD
  • 4A. NorénD
  • 24T. PetterssonD
  • 25M. NielsenM
  • 7V. GustafsonM
  • 5Abdullah IqbalM
  • 14Villiam GranathM
  • 10J. KjærF
  • 18J. BergströmF
  • 23Á. SamuelsenF
Substitutes
  • 3M. AgnarssonD
  • 39R. LeanderssonM
  • 6M. EnggårdM
  • 1S. HansenG
  • 26I. HoffmannD
  • 29Olle LindbergM
  • 2L. SvanbergD
  • 27L. TidstrandM
  • 9A. YoussefF
Coach: A. Brännström
Kalmar FF 5-4-1
  • 1S. BrolinG
  • 26M. YlitolvaD
  • 4J. LöfgrenD
  • 39L. SætraD
  • 47A. KeitaD
  • 2V. LarssonD
  • 13Amara CamaraM
  • 23R. GojaniM
  • 17C. GustafssonM
  • 24C. SagoeM
  • 6V. TyrenF
Substitutes
  • 22T. LauritsenM
  • 3S. ØverbyD
  • 11K. PaananenF
  • 25N. ShamounM
  • 9M. StoltF
  • 30J. KindbergG
  • 70E. NnamaniF
  • 20A. AlmqvistD
  • 27F. BjorklundD
Coach: T. Koskela

Form going into Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF

Mjallby AIF

Allsvenskan

  • W2-1away to Orgryte IS29 October 2026
  • L0-2Hammarby FF25 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Vasteras SK FK18 October 2026

Kalmar FF

Allsvenskan

  • L0-1Gais29 October 2026
  • L0-3IF Brommapojkarna24 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Degerfors IF19 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Mjallby AIF28610123043-1328
13Kalmar FF2875162442-1826

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF

  • 25 July 2026Kalmar FF 2–1 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 21 February 2026Mjallby AIF 2–0 Kalmar FFSvenska Cupen
  • 17 January 2026Mjallby AIF 4–0 Kalmar FFFriendlies Clubs
  • 20 October 2024Kalmar FF 0–3 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 29 April 2024Mjallby AIF 3–2 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Mjallby AIF and Kalmar FF

Mjallby AIF

GoalsAssists

  • J. Bergström100

Kalmar FF

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 24 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Mjallby AIF and Kalmar FF drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Mjallby AIF at 48% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.79–0.51.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kalmar FF a 9.4% chance to finish in the bottom two: under 1% after a win, 5.6% after a draw, 13.9% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 5.6%, 3.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Mjallby AIF v Kalmar FF has moved

First published on 19 Oct at 46% / 28% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 48% / 28% / 24%: the biggest move is Mjallby AIF's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Mjallby AIF win48%▲ +2
  2. Draw28%=
  3. Kalmar FF win24%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.