17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Morton vs Queen's Park Championship prediction & result

Cappielow Park, Greenock
Referee: J. Wilkie
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Morton 2-0 Queen's Park.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Morton, 27% draw, 31% Queen's Park — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Morton at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Morton99%Draw1%Queen's Park0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
R. Lamie
⚽G. Gillespie (pen)
13'
J. Longridge
34'
34'
M. Shiels
37'
C. Smith
⚽M. Garrityassist: K. Robertson
43'
60'
🔁C. Pignatielloout: Z. Mauchin
60'
🔁L. Longridgeout: A. McCallion
60'
🔁N. Todorovout: L. Stewart
66'
🔁C. Smithout: R. McLean
D. Borso
69'
70'
E. Murray
🔁K. Robertsonout: H. Cochrane
80'
🔁M. Garrityout: M. O'Halloran
80'
86'
🔁E. Murrayout: T. McDonnell
90+1'
A. McCallion

Line-ups

Morton
  • 1E. Harrison
  • 2C. Ballantyne
  • 5P. Croker
  • 3J. Longridge
  • 6C. Okike
  • 21G. Gillespie
  • 27I. Wilson
  • 20C. Sandilands
  • 19K. Robertson
  • 7M. Garrity
  • 12D. Borso
Substitutes
  • 31B. Kinnear
  • 9J. Gorman
  • 25M. Carse
  • 28L. Murphy
  • 29M. O'Halloran
  • 35D. Black
  • 47H. Cochrane
  • 52L. Fairnie
Coach: Ian Murray
Queen's Park
  • 1D. Mitchell
  • 12C. Pignatiello
  • 4E. Murray
  • 5R. Lamie
  • 22M. Shiels
  • 11A. Connolly
  • 8S. Martin
  • 7L. Longridge
  • 27C. Smith
  • 9M. Ruth
  • 77N. Todorov
Substitutes
  • 31M. Sliwinski
  • 2Z. Mauchin
  • 14L. Stewart
  • 17T. McDonnell
  • 21R. McLean
  • 24A. McCallion
  • 25Z. Lawson
  • 26B. Brannan
Coach: Sean Crighton

Form going into Morton vs Queen's Park

Morton

Championship

  • W2-1away to Arbroath10 October 2026

Queen's Park

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Inverness CT13 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Raith Rovers10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Scotland Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Morton144191625-913
10Queen's Park152112825-177

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Morton vs Queen's Park

  • 5 September 2026Queen's Park 2–1 MortonChampionship
  • 18 April 2026Morton 0–0 Queen's ParkChampionship
  • 21 February 2026Queen's Park 3–2 MortonChampionship
  • 5 December 2025Morton 2–1 Queen's ParkChampionship
  • 13 September 2025Queen's Park 0–0 MortonChampionship

The result against the call

Morton beat Queen's Park 2–0. The model had made a win for Morton its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: G. Gillespie (penalty) 13' for Morton, M. Garrity 43' for Morton.

How the call on Morton v Queen's Park has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 39% / 29% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 42% / 27% / 31%: the biggest move is Morton's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Morton win42%▲ +3
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. Queen's Park win31%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.