6 November 2026, 19:00 UTC

Nancy vs Sochaux Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Referee: Leprodhomme·Tifenn
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Nancy 1-0 Sochaux.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Nancy, 28% draw, 21% Sochaux — fair odds of 1.96, 3.57 and 4.76.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nancy at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Nancy97%Draw3%Sochaux0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Nehemiah Fernandez
18'
Enzo Tacafred
19'
21'
🔁Landry Nomelout: Mathis Clairicia
Enzo Tacafred
35'
🔁Pape Meissa Baout: Logan Ndenbe
37'
39'
Julien Masson
45+3'
Vincent Hognon
45+4'
Benjamin Gomel
🔁Elydjah Mendyout: Thierno Balde
50'
Jeremy Gelin
59'
63'
🔁Yohan Demoncyout: Victor Lobry
64'
🔁Julien Massonout: Jonathan Mexique
64'
🔁Benjamin Gomelout: Boubacar Fofana
⚽Zakaria Fdaouchassist: Ilyes Housni
74'
79'
🔁Louicius Deedsonout: Samy Baghdadi
🔁Zakaria Fdaouchout: Noam Obougou
81'
🔁Jeremy Gelinout: Kouroufia Kebe
81'
90+5'
Dylan Tavares

Match stats — Nancy vs Sochaux

42%Possession58%
9Shots8
4On target2
4Corners2
1.57xG0.71

Goals against chances

Nancy1 from 1.57 xGless than the chances were worth
Sochaux0 from 0.71 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Nancy 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. BasilioG
  • 4N. Fernandez-VelizD
  • 77Y. NahounouD
  • 21E. MendyD
  • 44E. TacafredD
  • 25J. GélinM
  • 8W. BouabdelliM
  • 9I. HousniM
  • 12El HadariM
  • 7Z. FdaouchM
  • 5P. Meïssa BaF
Substitutes
  • 17Mamadou Fofana IIM
  • 11I. CisseF
  • 19T. BaldéD
  • 26Zakaria ZtoutiF
  • 30G. LembetG
  • 22L. NdenbeD
  • 29N. ObougoujacquetF
  • 14N. Saint-RufD
  • 6K. KebeF
Coach: O. Tanchot
Sochaux 4-2-3-1
  • 40M. JeanninG
  • 26E. N'GattaD
  • 14M. PeybernesD
  • 3D. GomisD
  • 42Dylan TavaresD
  • 8Honoré BayanginisaM
  • 23J. MassonM
  • 11L. DeedsonM
  • 24Y. DemoncyM
  • 7B. GomelM
  • 77L. NomelF
Substitutes
  • 2Mohamed ToureD
  • 97S. AgouzoulD
  • 5S. BaghdadiF
  • 91M. ClairiciaF
  • 10B. FofanaF
  • 44N. K. MouyemaF
  • 19V. LobryM
  • 15J. MexiqueM
  • 30A. PierreG
Coach: Vincent Hognon

Form going into Nancy vs Sochaux

Nancy

Ligue 2

  • W4-1away to RED Star FC 932 November 2026
  • W1-0Laval23 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Annecy16 October 2026
  • W1-0Guingamp9 October 2026

Sochaux

Ligue 2

  • L0-2away to Reims2 November 2026
  • L1-3Annecy23 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Metz17 October 2026
  • D1-1Boulogne9 October 2026

What these results say

  • Nancy won every one of these 4 matches.
  • Nancy scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Sochaux did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Sochaux conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Sochaux scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Nancy12813179+825
16Sochaux12255815-711

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Nancy vs Sochaux

  • 14 February 2025Nancy 1–0 SochauxLigue 3
  • 13 September 2024Sochaux 2–3 NancyLigue 3
  • 8 April 2024Sochaux 4–1 NancyLigue 3
  • 3 November 2023Nancy 1–1 SochauxLigue 3
  • 9 April 2022Sochaux 1–0 NancyLigue 2
  • 30 October 2021Nancy 0–0 SochauxLigue 2

The result against the call

Nancy beat Sochaux 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Nancy at 51%. The goal: Zakaria Fdaouch 74' for Nancy. Sent off: Enzo Tacafred (Nancy) 35'. On expected goals it finished 1.57–0.71.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Nancy a 19.4% chance to finish in the top two: 22.1% after a win, 16.0% after a draw, 14.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 22.1%, 2.7 points higher than before the match.

For Sochaux the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 40.1% going in: 27.8% after a win, 38.2% after a draw, 44.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 44.5%, 4.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 2 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Nancy v Sochaux has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 41% / 31% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 51% / 28% / 21%: the biggest move is Nancy's chance of winning, up 10 points.

  1. Nancy win51%▲ +10
  2. Draw28%▼ −3
  3. Sochaux win21%▼ −7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.