19 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Viborg vs FC Midtjylland Superliga prediction & result

Energi Viborg Arena, Viborg
Referee: Sandi Putros
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Viborg 1-2 FC Midtjylland.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Viborg, 27% draw, 43% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Midtjylland at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Viborg0%Draw4%FC Midtjylland96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
Rasmus Kristensen
27'
🔁Denil Castilloout: Sofus Johannesen
44'
Mads Bech Sørensen
45'
🔁Stanley Iheanachoout: Cho Gue-sung
45'
🔁Kjell-Arik Wätjenout: Julius Emefile
51'
⚽Rasmus Kristensenassist: Philip Billing
57'
Mike Tullberg
⚽Dorian Hanzaassist: Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman
59'
🔁Hjalte Bidstrupout: Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson
64'
66'
⚽Philip Billing
🔁Asker Beckout: Ruben Kristensen Alte
78'
🔁Mads Søndergaard Clausenout: Philip Keller
79'
🔁Sami Jalal Karchoudout: Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
79'
81'
Andreas Maxsø
Lukas Kirkegaard
84'
🔁Charly Ngos Nouck Hornemanout: Žan Zaletel
86'
Jeppe Grønning
88'
90+1'
🔁Friday Etimout: Mileta Rajovic
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
90+5'

Match stats — Viborg vs FC Midtjylland

51%Possession49%
19Shots12
4On target6
3Corners3
1.51xG0.75

Goals against chances

Viborg1 from 1.51 xGless than the chances were worth
FC Midtjylland2 from 0.75 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Viborg 4-3-3
  • 20K. KiilerichG
  • 26Hjalte BidstrupD
  • 4L. KirkegaardD
  • 24D. AnyembeD
  • 23O. BundgaardD
  • 8A. BeckM
  • 13J. GrønningM
  • 6M. SøndergaardM
  • 10S. JalalF
  • 19Dorian HanzaF
  • 11C. NouckF
Substitutes
  • 18R. AlteM
  • 33Frederik DamkjerM
  • 36Adam Kleis-KristoffersenF
  • 3V. Lunddal FriðrikssonD
  • 1L. LundG
  • 38E. MonradD
  • 5Ž. ZaletelD
  • 41Andreas SøndergaardD
  • 34Philip KellerM
Coach: Nickolai Lund
FC Midtjylland 3-4-1-2
  • 25N. BakkerG
  • 2A. MaxsøD
  • 4O. DiaoD
  • 22M. BechD
  • 5R. KristensenM
  • 8P. BillingM
  • 19P. BravoM
  • 29K. WätjenM
  • 21D. CastilloM
  • 90F. EtimF
  • 18S. IheanachoF
Substitutes
  • 20Hong Hyun-SeokM
  • 27S. JohannesenM
  • 98D. MartínezF
  • 9M. RajovićF
  • 17M. UhreF
  • 30O. EjeheriG
  • 10Cho Gue-SungF
  • 15B. Dje Bi DjeD
  • 38J. EmefileM
Coach: M. Tullberg

Form going into Viborg vs FC Midtjylland

Viborg

Superliga

  • W2-0away to Randers FC11 October 2026

FC Midtjylland

Superliga

  • W2-1FC Copenhagen11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Viborg148242213+926
2FC Midtjylland149502917+1232

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Viborg vs FC Midtjylland

  • 4 May 2026FC Midtjylland 3–3 ViborgSuperliga
  • 22 March 2026Viborg 1–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 7 December 2025Viborg 3–3 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 20 September 2025FC Midtjylland 2–0 ViborgSuperliga
  • 10 November 2024Viborg 1–0 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 29 September 2024FC Midtjylland 3–1 ViborgSuperliga

Leading scorers: Viborg and FC Midtjylland

Viborg

GoalsAssists

  • Dorian Hanza61
  • M. Søndergaard43
  • C. Nouck33

FC Midtjylland

GoalsAssists

  • F. Etim63

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Midtjylland won 2–1 at Viborg. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FC Midtjylland at 43%. The goals: Rasmus Kristensen 51' for FC Midtjylland, Dorian Hanza 59' for Viborg, Philip Billing 66' for FC Midtjylland. On expected goals it finished 1.51–0.75.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Viborg a 5.9% chance to finish top of the regular season: 10.6% after a win, 5.4% after a draw, 2.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 2.6%, 3.3 points lower than before the match.

For FC Midtjylland the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 45.7% going in: 54.4% after a win, 42.7% after a draw, 34.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 54.4%, 8.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.