7 November 2026, 16:30 UTC

Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK Allsvenskan prediction & result

Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Referee: O. Johnson
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Orgryte IS 0-0 Vasteras SK FK.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Orgryte IS, 25% draw, 45% Vasteras SK FK — fair odds of 3.33, 4.00 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vasteras SK FK at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Orgryte IS4%Draw91%Vasteras SK FK5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Alex Rahm
9'
10'
⚽Axel Sountonoma Taonsa (pen)
S.Lagerlund
45'
45'
Herman·Magnusson
49'
⚽Abdelrahman Saidi (pen)
Andreas Holmberg
49'
🔁Liam Filip Anderssonout: Viktor Ekblom
62'
🔁Anton Andreassonout: Adam Andersson
62'
Anton Andreasson
64'
66'
🔁Mattias Hellisdalout: Ismet Lushaku
🔁Mikael Dyrestamout: Johan Hammar
73'
🔁william hofvanderout: Rasmus Alm
73'
🔁Daniel Paulsonout: michael parker
80'
82'
🔁jonathan karlssonout: Marcus Baggesen
82'
🔁jens magnussonout: Bonaventure Lendambi
William Kenndal
84'

Match stats — Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK

36%Possession64%
12Shots25
3On target7
5Corners11
0.77xG3.58

Goals against chances

Orgryte IS0 from 0.77 xGless than the chances were worth
Vasteras SK FK0 from 3.58 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Orgryte IS 5-3-2
  • 34A. RahmG
  • 19A. AndreassonD
  • 33S. LagerlundD
  • 6M. DyrestamD
  • 5C. StyffeD
  • 14D. PaulsonD
  • 21W. KenndalM
  • 23O. Parker-PriceM
  • 17W. HofvanderM
  • 22T. SanaF
  • 9L. AnderssonF
Substitutes
  • 10R. AlmM
  • 18A. AnderssonD
  • 3J. AzulayD
  • 32Viktor EkblomF
  • 44H. GustafssonG
  • 25J. HammarD
  • 15Jerome Tibbling UgwoF
  • 2M. ParkerD
  • 7C. VindehallM
Coach: A. Holmberg
Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3
  • 1A. FagerströmG
  • 24J. TagessonD
  • 4P. BondeD
  • 2H. MagnussonD
  • 11S. GefvertM
  • 30M. HellisdalM
  • 8M. DiagneM
  • 15J. KarlssonM
  • 19J. MagnussonF
  • 17A. TaonsaF
  • 7A. BoudahF
Substitutes
  • 25André BernardiniG
  • 5K. GunnarssonM
  • 16Bonaventure LendambiF
  • 14I. LushakuM
  • 18F. NsabiyumvaD
  • 10J. RingF
  • 21V. WernerssonD
  • 23P. AmoranD
  • 3M. BaggesenD
Coach: Alexander Rubin

Form going into Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK

Orgryte IS

Allsvenskan

  • L1-2away to IF Elfsborg1 November 2026
  • L1-2Mjallby AIF29 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Djurgardens IF24 October 2026
  • W4-2Gais18 October 2026

Vasteras SK FK

Allsvenskan

  • W1-0IF Brommapojkarna1 November 2026
  • W3-0away to Degerfors IF28 October 2026
  • L1-2Halmstad23 October 2026
  • W1-0Mjallby AIF18 October 2026

What these results say

  • Orgryte IS scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Orgryte IS conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Orgryte IS had three goals or more.
  • Vasteras SK FK scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Vasteras SK FK won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Vasteras SK FK kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Orgryte IS2848163360-2720
6Vasteras SK FK2813694038+245

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK

  • 24 July 2026Vasteras SK FK 2–0 Orgryte ISAllsvenskan
  • 24 October 2025Orgryte IS 0–2 Vasteras SK FKSuperettan
  • 8 April 2025Vasteras SK FK 1–1 Orgryte ISSuperettan
  • 4 November 2023Orgryte IS 1–0 Vasteras SK FKSuperettan
  • 10 April 2023Vasteras SK FK 0–0 Orgryte ISSuperettan
  • 27 August 2022Vasteras SK FK 1–1 Orgryte ISSuperettan

Leading scorers: Orgryte IS and Vasteras SK FK

Orgryte IS

GoalsAssists

  • N. Christoffersson81

Vasteras SK FK

GoalsAssists

  • A. Taonsa102
  • M. Ladefoged92

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Orgryte IS and Vasteras SK FK drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Vasteras SK FK at 45% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.77–3.58.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Orgryte IS a 45.2% chance to finish in the bottom two: 24.9% after a win, 44.2% after a draw, 59.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 44.2%, 1 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.