7 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Rosenborg vs Start Eliteserien prediction & result

Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Referee: E. Eskas
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Rosenborg 4-1 Start.

Before kick-off the model made it 73% Rosenborg, 17% draw, 10% Start — fair odds of 1.37, 5.88 and 10.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rosenborg at 73%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Ole Selnaesassist: Jonas Svensson
27'
⚽Jonas Svensson
42'
45+1'
Erlend Segberg
53'
Johan Meyer
Nemcik Tomas
57'
63'
🔁Hakon Lorentzenout: Marius Nordal
🔁Noah Sahsahout: Jesper Reitan Sunde
71'
🔁Mathias Ullereng Kjoloout: Iver Fossum
72'
72'
🔁Jesper Corneliusout: Nikolaos Koutsakos
72'
🔁Mikael Uglandout: Eirik Schulze
Ole Selnaes
74'
79'
Deni Dashaev
🔁Jonas Svenssonout: David Duris
82'
🔁Aslak Fonn Witryout: Jonas Sogaard Mortensen
82'
82'
🔁Steve Mvoueout: nikola jojic
•Iver Fossum
86'
⚽Amin Chiakha (pen)
88'
90+3'
⚽Nikolaos Koutsakosassist: Deni Dashaev
⚽Deni Dashaev (OG)
90+5'

Match stats — Rosenborg vs Start

71%Possession29%
17Shots9
5On target2
6Corners3
2.05xG0.66

Goals against chances

Rosenborg4 from 2.05 xGmore than the chances were worth
Start1 from 0.66 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rosenborg 4-4-2
  • 1L. WahlstedtG
  • 16A. WitryD
  • 4M. CeïdeD
  • 21T. NemčíkD
  • 3T. SolheimD
  • 11N. SahsahM
  • 6M. KjøløM
  • 10O. SelnæsM
  • 22J. SvenssonM
  • 18Amin ChiakhaF
  • 35E. CeïdeF
Substitutes
  • 20J. BárðarsonM
  • 29D. ĎurišF
  • 8I. FossumM
  • 9D. IslamovićF
  • 23M. MampassiD
  • 15J. MortensenD
  • 14J. Reitan-SundeF
  • 12R. SandbergG
  • 30M. SoboczynskiF
Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Start 5-3-2
  • 26M. SjøengG
  • 27O. ToureD
  • 5S. GranheimD
  • 4J. MeyerD
  • 6J. NorheimD
  • 12D. DashaevD
  • 10S. MvouéM
  • 23E. SegbergM
  • 18M. UglandM
  • 17J. CorneliusF
  • 20H. LorentzenF
Substitutes
  • 24S. Strand-KolbjørnsenG
  • 11E. SchulzeM
  • 35S. SamuyiwaM
  • 2F. PålerudD
  • 15M. NordalF
  • 9N. KoutsakosF
  • 8N. JojićF
Coach: A. Karadas

Form going into Rosenborg vs Start

Rosenborg

Eliteserien

  • W3-0away to Fredrikstad31 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Ham-Kam24 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Sarpsborg 08 FF18 October 2026
  • D1-1Sandefjord10 October 2026

Start

Eliteserien

  • L0-1Lillestrom1 November 2026
  • W1-0Sandefjord25 October 2026
  • L1-6away to Molde18 October 2026
  • L2-4Ham-Kam11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Rosenborg went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Rosenborg scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Rosenborg won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Start failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Start scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Start conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Rosenborg2614485332+2146
16Start2654172759-3219

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rosenborg vs Start

  • 18 July 2026Start 0–3 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 24 February 2026Rosenborg 2–1 StartFriendlies Clubs
  • 1 November 2020Rosenborg 1–0 StartEliteserien
  • 16 July 2020Start 0–0 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 11 November 2018Start 0–1 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 22 April 2018Rosenborg 2–0 StartEliteserien

Leading scorers: Rosenborg and Start

Rosenborg

GoalsAssists

  • Amin Chiakha184

Start

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 27 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rosenborg beat Start 4–1. The model had made a win for Rosenborg its most likely outcome, at 73%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Ole Selnaes 27' for Rosenborg, Jonas Svensson 42' for Rosenborg, Amin Chiakha (penalty) 88' for Rosenborg, Nikolaos Koutsakos 90+3' for Start, Deni Dashaev (own goal) 90+5' for Rosenborg. On expected goals it finished 2.05–0.66.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Start a 99.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 95.9% after a win, 99.6% after a draw, 99.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure about where it was, at 99.8%.

Read from our Eliteserien season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.