5 November 2026, 22:30 UTC

Palmeiras vs Remo Serie A prediction & result

Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo
Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
Full time6 – 1

Final score: Palmeiras 6-1 Remo.

Before kick-off the model made it 67% Palmeiras, 22% draw, 11% Remo — fair odds of 1.49, 4.55 and 9.09.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Palmeiras at 67%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽J. Ariasassist: Vitor Roque
4'
⚽J. Ariasassist: Khellven
14'
⚽Mauricioassist: Marlon Freitas
21'
⚽Marcelinho (OG)
36'
•Mauricio
38'
45'
⚽Ze Welison
🔁G. Gomezout: A. Barboza
46'
🔁Marlon Freitasout: Lucas Evangelista
46'
🔁J. Ariasout: J. Lopez
46'
46'
🔁D. Tchambaout: Ze Ivaldo
46'
🔁Marlonout: Mayk
46'
🔁L. Piccoout: Edson Fernando
53'
Marllon
⚽J. Lopezassist: Khellven
55'
60'
Zé Ivaldo
🔁Mauricioout: Felipe Anderson
61'
66'
Marcelinho
70'
🔁Marcelinhoout: Yago Pikachu
🔁Muriloout: E. Martinez
74'
78'
🔁Jajaout: Eduardo Melo
⚽Felipe Andersonassist: J. Lopez
80'
85'
Edson Fernando

Match stats — Palmeiras vs Remo

58%Possession42%
19Shots11
9On target5
5Corners3
4.78xG0.32

Goals against chances

Palmeiras6 from 4.78 xGmore than the chances were worth
Remo1 from 0.32 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Palmeiras 3-4-2-1
  • 1Carlos MiguelG
  • 26MuriloD
  • 15G. GomezD
  • 3Bruno FuchsD
  • 12KhellvenM
  • 8Andreas PereiraM
  • 17Marlon FreitasM
  • 56Arthur GabrielM
  • 18MauricioF
  • 11J. AriasF
  • 9Vitor RoqueF
Substitutes
  • 14Marcelo LombaG
  • 2A. BarbozaD
  • 22J. PiquerezD
  • 4A. GiayD
  • 32E. MartinezM
  • 50Luis PachecoM
  • 30Lucas EvangelistaM
  • 48LarsonM
  • 7Felipe AndersonM
Coach: Ferreira Abel
Remo 5-4-1
  • 88Marcelo RangelG
  • 79MarcelinhoD
  • 13MarllonD
  • 28Ze WelisonD
  • 18D. TchambaD
  • 6MarlonD
  • 26David BragaM
  • 14L. PiccoM
  • 8PatrickM
  • 7JajaM
  • 19Gabriel TaliariF
Substitutes
  • 97IvanG
  • 94Ygor VinhasG
  • 27Ze IvaldoD
  • 2Matheus AlexandreD
  • 77MaykD
  • 35Edson FernandoM
  • 15Vitor BuenoF
  • 55Ze RicardoM
  • 22Yago PikachuM
Coach: Carpini Thiago

Form going into Palmeiras vs Remo

Palmeiras

Serie A

  • D0-0away to Santos28 October 2026
  • W2-0RB Bragantino24 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Atletico Paranaense17 October 2026
  • W4-1Corinthians11 October 2026

Remo

Serie A

  • W2-1Botafogo29 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Cruzeiro23 October 2026
  • D1-1RB Bragantino18 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Vasco da Gama10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Palmeiras went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Palmeiras won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Palmeiras scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Remo failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Remo conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Remo had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Palmeiras34211036223+3973
19Remo34611173757-2029

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Palmeiras vs Remo

  • 10 May 2026Remo 1–1 PalmeirasSerie A

Leading scorers: Palmeiras and Remo

Palmeiras

GoalsAssists

  • J. López107
  • Maurício101

Remo

GoalsAssists

  • Jája Silva91

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Palmeiras beat Remo 6–1. The model had made a win for Palmeiras its most likely outcome, at 67%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: J. Arias 4' for Palmeiras, J. Arias 14' for Palmeiras, Mauricio 21' for Palmeiras, Marcelinho (own goal) 36' for Palmeiras, Ze Welison 45' for Remo, J. Lopez 55' for Palmeiras, Felipe Anderson 80' for Palmeiras. On expected goals it finished 4.78–0.32.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Palmeiras a 13.2% chance to win the league: 15.4% after a win, 6.9% after a draw, 3.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.4%, 2.2 points higher than before the match.

For Remo the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 99.3% going in: 95.4% after a win, 98.9% after a draw, 99.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 99.8%, 0.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Serie A season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.