25 October 2026, 13:15 UTC

Persepolis FC vs Foolad FC Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Persepolis FC 0-1 Foolad FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Persepolis FC, 25% draw, 20% Foolad FC — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Persepolis FC at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Persepolis FC0%Draw6%Foolad FC94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

P. Shahrabadi
19'
🔁M. Khodabandelouout: P. Latififar
22'
🔁P. Shahrabadiout: A. Jalali
49'
57'
🔁F. Ahmadzadehout: Y. Mazrae
🔁T. Bifoumaout: M. Sadeghi
66'
🔁M. Tikdariout: I. Sergeev
67'
🔁H. Kanaaniout: M. Zare
79'
79'
🔁G. Latifiout: M. Keshavarzi
79'
🔁E. Mahrooghiout: A. Attar
86'
🔁A. Akbarzadehout: A. Bagheri
87'
⚽V. Amiriassist: A. Bagheri
90+4'
V. Amiri

Line-ups

Persepolis FC
  • 1P. Niazmand
  • 20E. Majid
  • 6H. Kanaani
  • 89D. Eiri
  • 8M. Tikdari
  • 10M. Mohebi
  • 77M. Khodabandelou
  • 66P. Pourali
  • 23T. Bifouma
  • 9A. Alipour
  • 21P. Shahrabadi
Substitutes
  • 22A. Rafiei
  • 3A. Jalali
  • 4M. Zare
  • 7M. Omri
  • 11I. Sergeev
  • 33D. Gera
  • 34A. Mahmoudi
  • 45M. Sadeghi
  • 74A. Homaeifard
Foolad FC
  • 81H. Lak
  • 3S. Ansari
  • 14A. Akvan
  • 5A. Saedi
  • 2A. Razzaghpour
  • 6O. Hamedifar
  • 7V. Amiri
  • 29G. Latifi
  • 30A. Akbarzadeh
  • 10F. Ahmadzadeh
  • 9E. Mahrooghi
Substitutes
  • 1M. Forouzan
  • 13M. Badragheh
  • 20Y. Mazrae
  • 21M. Moradi
  • 23A. Bagheri
  • 26M. Kazemi
  • 70A. Attar
  • 77M. Keshavarzi
  • 80A. Rafie

Form going into Persepolis FC vs Foolad FC

Persepolis FC

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • W3-0away to Mes Shahr-e Babak19 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Kheybar Khorramabad14 October 2026

Foolad FC

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • D0-0Nassaji Mazandaran18 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Malavan13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Persepolis FC12723207+1323
4Foolad FC12651126+623

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Persepolis FC vs Foolad FC

  • 28 January 2026Foolad FC 3–1 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 13 September 2025Persepolis FC 1–1 Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 31 January 2025Foolad FC 1–1 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 30 August 2024Persepolis FC 2–0 Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 8 March 2024Persepolis FC 4–2 Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 30 August 2023Foolad FC 0–2 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League

Leading scorers: Persepolis FC and Foolad FC

Persepolis FC

GoalsAssists

  • I. Sergeev10

Foolad FC

No player in Persian Gulf Pro League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Foolad FC won 1–0 at Persepolis FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Persepolis FC at 55% and given a win for Foolad FC 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: V. Amiri 87' for Foolad FC.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Persepolis FC a 54.8% chance to finish top of the regular season: 70.0% after a win, 38.2% after a draw, 21.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 21.1%, 33.7 points lower than before the match.

For Foolad FC the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 1.9% going in: 8.8% after a win, under 1% after a draw, 0.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 8.8%, 6.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Persepolis FC v Foolad FC has moved

First published on 11 Oct at 53% / 24% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 55% / 25% / 20%: the biggest move is Foolad FC's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Persepolis FC win55%▲ +2
  2. Draw25%▲ +1
  3. Foolad FC win20%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.