25 October 2026, 13:15 UTC

Sepahan FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium, Isfahan
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Sepahan FC 4-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak.

Before kick-off the model made it 75% Sepahan FC, 16% draw, 9% Mes Shahr-e Babak — fair odds of 1.33, 6.25 and 11.11.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sepahan FC at 75%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sepahan FC99%Draw1%Mes Shahr-e Babak0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
M. Raoufimanesh
⚽M. Limouchiassist: E. Hajsafi
12'
⚽K. Taheriassist: M. Lotfi
14'
25'
A. Valizadeh
⚽O. Noorafkan
32'
⚽K. Taheriassist: O. Noorafkan
59'

Line-ups

Sepahan FC
  • 1S. Hosseini
  • 28E. Hajsafi
  • 5M. Hazbavi
  • 2H. Mohammadi
  • 19O. Noorafkan
  • 6A. Hajieydi
  • 88A. Rezavand
  • 79M. Lotfi
  • 81A. Habibi
  • 7M. Limouchi
  • 70K. Taheri
Substitutes
  • 8S. Karimi
  • 9K. Rezaei
  • 11R. Jafari
  • 16A. Jalalivand
  • 17M. Askari
  • 23G. Sabet Imani
  • 33A. Maghsoudi
  • 41Y. Jorjani
  • 44A. Sohrabian
Coach: Moharram Navidkia
Mes Shahr-e Babak
  • 1M. Ghavidel
  • 7M. J. Pouravaz
  • 6M. Raoufimanesh
  • 3M. Mohammadi
  • 5A. Enayatzadeh
  • 21M. Azhir
  • 17A. Karbalaei
  • 10A. Valizadeh
  • 8M. Tajik
  • 89M. Abdollahi
  • 88M. Hasheminasab
Substitutes
  • 13M. Naderpour
  • 19A. Ghezel
  • 22A. Rahimi Barfe
  • 23H. Eftekhari
  • 37M. Vahabzadeh
  • 38M. Jannia
  • 69A. Jabbari
  • 71G. Pouria
  • 77M. Sefid

Form going into Sepahan FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak

Sepahan FC

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • D0-0away to Shams Azar Qazvin18 October 2026
  • W2-1away to ZOB Ahan13 October 2026

Mes Shahr-e Babak

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • L0-3Persepolis FC19 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Foolad FC8 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Sepahan FC12822237+1626
18Mes Shahr-e Babak12057723-165

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

Sepahan FC beat Mes Shahr-e Babak 4–0. The model had made a win for Sepahan FC its most likely outcome, at 75%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: M. Limouchi 12' for Sepahan FC, K. Taheri 14' for Sepahan FC, O. Noorafkan 32' for Sepahan FC, K. Taheri 59' for Sepahan FC. Sent off: M. Raoufimanesh (Mes Shahr-e Babak) 9'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sepahan FC a 22.0% chance to finish in the top two: 25.2% after a win, 4.6% after a draw, 1.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 25.2%, 3.2 points higher than before the match.

For Mes Shahr-e Babak the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 95.2% going in: 70.4% after a win, 94.1% after a draw, 97.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 97.5%, 2.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Sepahan FC v Mes Shahr-e Babak has moved

First published on 11 Oct at 71% / 17% / 12% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 75% / 16% / 9%: the biggest move is Sepahan FC's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Sepahan FC win75%▲ +4
  2. Draw16%▼ −1
  3. Mes Shahr-e Babak win9%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.