Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Portland Timbers 0-0 Colorado Rapids.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Portland Timbers, 26% draw, 31% Colorado Rapids — fair odds of 2.33, 3.85 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Portland Timbers at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 41J. PantemisG
- 12R. HernándezD
- 2J. WatermanD
- 4K. MillerD
- 27J. ForyD
- 73Eric IzoitaM
- 21D. CharáM
- 10David Pereira da CostaM
- 22O. FernandezF
- 14V. JanssenF
- 99K. VeldeF
- 28A. AravenaF
- 17C. BassettM
- 30J. CaicedoM
- 7A. LassiterF
- 15E. MillerD
- 25T. MuseG
- 80J. OrtizM
- 23Ian SmithD
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 12J. AtencioM
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 32D. PhillipM
- 7M. WhittakerM
- 93G. MinoungouM
- 77D. YapiF
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 24N. CobbD
- 61B. DowdG
- 16A. HarrisF
- 8H. OjediranM
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 11I. SadiqF
- 99J. TravisD
Form going into Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Los Angeles Galaxy15 October 2026
- D3-3away to Sporting Kansas City11 October 2026
- L1-3away to San Jose Earthquakes27 September 2026
- L0-1Atlanta United FC20 September 2026
- L1-2away to FC Dallas13 September 2026
Colorado Rapids
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Minnesota United FC15 October 2026
- D1-1San Jose Earthquakes11 October 2026
- L2-3away to Los Angeles Galaxy27 September 2026
- D3-3Seattle Sounders20 September 2026
- W1-0CF Montreal13 September 2026
What these results say
- Portland Timbers did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Portland Timbers conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids
- 28 February 2026Colorado Rapids 2–0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- 29 May 2025Portland Timbers 2–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 23 March 2025Colorado Rapids 0–3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- 15 September 2024Colorado Rapids 2–1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- 2 August 2024Portland Timbers 4–0 Colorado RapidsLeagues Cup
- 25 February 2024Portland Timbers 4–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
The result against the call
Portland Timbers and Colorado Rapids drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Portland Timbers at 43% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.66–1.01.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Portland Timbers a 28.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 14.4% after a win, 33.1% after a draw, 46.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 33.1%, 4.5 points higher than before the match.
For Colorado Rapids the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 2.4% going in: under 1% after a win, under 1% after a draw, 4.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at under 1%, 1.7 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Major League Soccer season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.