Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Real Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Real Salt Lake, 29% draw, 32% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Real Salt Lake at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 26P. QuintonD
- 21J. J. AriasD
- 4L. EngelD
- 98A. KatranisM
- 92N. CaliskanM
- 34L. MoisaM
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 12S. LobjanidzeF
- 22S. SolansF
- 10D. LunaF
- 31M. StajduharG
- 2D. YedlinD
- 3K. HenryD
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 25C. GuskeM
- 13J. ShokalookF
- 70Lineker RodriguesF
- 1H. LlorisG
- 33A. LongD
- 91Nkosi TafariD
- 23Y. CheberkoD
- 24R. HollingsheadM
- 66M. ChoiniereM
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 18J. ShaffelburgM
- 19T. BoydF
- 99D. BouangaF
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 31C. CarterG
- 14S. PalenciaD
- 45K. NielsenD
- 4E. SeguraD
- 22J. TerryM
- 9A. SiebF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 90T. MihalicF
Form going into Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Colorado Rapids30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Orlando City SC22 August 2026
- L3-4FC Dallas20 August 2026
- D1-1Minnesota United FC16 August 2026
- D1-1away to St. Louis City2 August 2026
Los Angeles FC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to DC United29 August 2026
- D1-1Portland Timbers23 August 2026
- L0-1away to Colorado Rapids20 August 2026
- L0-1San Diego16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Vancouver Whitecaps1 August 2026
What these results say
- Real Salt Lake did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Los Angeles FC had two goals or fewer.
- Los Angeles FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
- 23 July 2026Los Angeles FC 3–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake
GoalsAssists
- S. Solans154
Los Angeles FC
GoalsAssists
- D. Bouanga185
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles FC drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Real Salt Lake at 39% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: D. Bouanga 14' for Los Angeles FC, S. Lobjanidze 18' for Real Salt Lake, Son Heung-Min 39' for Los Angeles FC, N. Caliskan 75' for Real Salt Lake. On expected goals it finished 3.19–2.84.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.