Preston vs Wolves Championship prediction & result
Final score: Preston 1-3 Wolves.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Preston, 19% draw, 43% Wolves — fair odds of 2.63, 5.26 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-3.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wolves at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Preston vs Wolves
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Daniel IversenG
- 4Harry ClarkeD
- 14Jordan StoreyD
- 6Liam LindsayD
- 16Andrew HughesD
- 8Ali McCannM
- 27Leo LeroyM
- 7Alfie DevineM
- 10Callum LangM
- 37Delano BurgzorgM
- 9Jusef ErabiF
- 21Lee NichollsG
- 2Pol ValentínD
- 3Andrija VukčevićD
- 32Ed NolanD
- 19Lewis GibsonD
- 15Jordan ThompsonM
- 23Andrew MoranM
- 11Thierry SmallD
- 30George GrybaF
- 1José SáG
- 38Jackson TchatchouaD
- 34Nasser DjigaD
- 24Toti GomesD
- 3Hugo BuenoD
- 5Marshall MunetsiM
- 7AndréM
- 21Rodrigo GomesM
- 28Fer LópezM
- 36Mateus ManéM
- 9Raúl JiménezF
- 31Sam JohnstoneG
- 6David Møller WolfeD
- 4Santiago BuenoD
- 17Pedro LimaD
- 23Tawanda ChirewaF
- 12Boubacar TraoréM
- 20Tommy DoyleM
- 8Jordan JamesM
- 10Adam ArmstrongF
Form going into Preston vs Wolves
Preston
- L1-2away to Bolton15 August 2026
Wolves
- D2-2Blackburn14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
| 7 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Preston vs Wolves
- 22 August 2026Preston 1–3 WolvesChampionship
- 23 August 2022Wolves 2–1 PrestonLeague Cup
- 17 February 2018Preston 1–1 WolvesChampionship
- 21 October 2017Wolves 3–2 PrestonChampionship
- 7 May 2017Wolves 1–0 PrestonChampionship
- 19 November 2016Preston 0–0 WolvesChampionship
Leading scorers: Preston and Wolves
Preston
- C. Lang3 goals
Wolves
- Fer López3 goals2 assists
- R. Jiménez3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.