14 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf 3. Liga prediction & result

Preussenstadion, Munster
Referee: Felix Prigan
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Preußen Münster 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Preußen Münster, 28% draw, 30% Fortuna Düsseldorf — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Preußen Münster at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Preußen Münster4%Draw93%Fortuna Düsseldorf3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Rico Preißinger
22'
28'
Elias Arden
45'
🔁Elias Ardenout: Marcel Benger
⚽Felix Higlassist: Montell Ndikom
53'
58'
🔁Matthias Zimmermannout: Steven Van Der Sloot
58'
🔁Fabian Schleusenerout: Eric Hottmann
🔁Charalampos Makridisout: Joshua Mees
60'
65'
⚽Andreas Müllerassist: Anas Slimani
67'
Anas Slimani
Romario Rosch
67'
🔁Romario Roschout: Wesley Adeh
74'
🔁Samuel Moïse Althausout: Louis Philipp Kolbe
74'
78'
🔁Jorrit Hendrixout: Yassine Bouchama
84'
🔁Philipp Försterout: Jordi Paulina
Antonio Tikvić
85'
🔁Felix Higlout: M. Stuhlmacher
86'
🔁Montell Ndikomout: Marvin Schulz
86'
87'
Yassine Bouchama
90+2'
⚽Eric Hottmannassist: Lukas Bornschein
90+4'
Erik Wekesser

Match stats — Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

39%Possession61%
3Shots14
1On target3
1Corners7

Line-ups

Preußen Münster 3-4-3
  • 1M. BehrensG
  • 16T. PaetowD
  • 5L. ZellerD
  • 4A. TikvićD
  • 43R. RöschM
  • 44Samuel Moïse AlthausM
  • 21R. PreißingerM
  • 36N. VarelmannM
  • 28Montell NdikomF
  • 33F. HiglF
  • 14C. MakridisF
Substitutes
  • 29Leon TasovF
  • 6Wesley AdehM
  • 19M. DemirhanM
  • 38M. HarsmanG
  • 2L. KolbeD
  • 27J. KorteM
  • 8J. MeesF
  • 30M. SchulzM
  • 17M. StuhlmacherM
Coach: Thomas Wörle
Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-3-3
  • 22L. LordG
  • 25M. ZimmermannD
  • 15T. OberdorfD
  • 44E .EgouliD
  • 7E. WekesserD
  • 6A. MüllerM
  • 38E. ArdenM
  • 8J. HendrixM
  • 24F. SchleusenerF
  • 10P. FörsterF
  • 34A. SlimaniF
Substitutes
  • 2S. van der SlootD
  • 28S. RischD
  • 1L. RießG
  • 27J. PaulinaF
  • 9E. HottmannF
  • 14J. ConsbruchM
  • 5Y. BouchamaM
  • 4L. BornscheinD
  • 16M. BengerM
Coach: A. Ende

Form going into Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

Preußen Münster

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3Rot-Weiß Essen9 October 2026

Fortuna Düsseldorf

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Verl11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Preußen Münster134362125-415
13Fortuna Düsseldorf134451417-316

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

  • 13 February 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf 0–0 Preußen Münster2. Bundesliga
  • 14 September 2025Preußen Münster 1–2 Fortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga
  • 5 April 2025Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–0 Preußen Münster2. Bundesliga
  • 1 November 2024Preußen Münster 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf

Preußen Münster

GoalsAssists

  • F. Higl41
  • Montell Ndikom40

Fortuna Düsseldorf

No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Fortuna Düsseldorf won 2–1 at Preußen Münster. The model had leaned towards a win for Preußen Münster at 42% and given a win for Fortuna Düsseldorf 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Felix Higl 53' for Preußen Münster, Andreas Müller 65' for Fortuna Düsseldorf, Eric Hottmann 90+2' for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Preußen Münster a 28.2% chance to finish in the top four: 32.2% after a win, 26.0% after a draw, 22.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 22.2%, 6 points lower than before the match.

For Fortuna Düsseldorf the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 23.5% going in: 31.2% after a win, 22.7% after a draw, 18.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 31.2%, 7.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Preußen Münster v Fortuna Düsseldorf has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is Preußen Münster's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Preußen Münster win42%▲ +2
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Fortuna Düsseldorf win30%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.