Queen's Park vs Partick Championship prediction & result
Final score: Queen's Park 0-1 Partick.
Before kick-off the model made it 22% Queen's Park, 27% draw, 51% Partick — fair odds of 4.55, 3.70 and 1.96.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Partick at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1D. Mitchell
- 12C. Pignatiello
- 5R. Lamie
- 22M. Shiels
- 21R. McLean
- 24A. McCallion
- 8S. Martin
- 2Z. Mauchin
- 11A. Connolly
- 14L. Stewart
- 27C. Smith
- 31M. Sliwinski
- 3M. MacKenzie
- 20K. Rodger
- 26B. Brannan
- 18C. Goldie
- 7L. Longridge
- 17T. McDonnell
- 25Z. Lawson
- 77N. Todorov
- 12L. McFarlane
- 17E. Ingram
- 5L. Ashcroft
- 22C. Loughrey
- 3P. Reading
- 8O. Smyth
- 6B. Dempsey
- 10E. Henderson
- 26B. Stanway
- 7S. Drozd
- 32T. Watt
- 1L. Budinauckas
- 2C. Logan
- 31J. Low
- 24B. McPherson
- 14R. Crawford
- 21A. Fitzpatrick
- 64T. Letsosa
- 35J. Miller
- 9A. Samuel
Form going into Queen's Park vs Partick
Queen's Park
Championship
- L2-3away to Ayr Utd31 October 2026
- L0-1Dunfermline24 October 2026
- L0-2away to Morton17 October 2026
Partick
Championship
- L2-3Morton31 October 2026
- W3-0Stenhousemuir24 October 2026
- D1-1away to Dunfermline20 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Scotland Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Queen's Park | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 25 | -17 | 7 |
| 1 | Partick | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Queen's Park vs Partick
- 29 August 2026Partick 0–0 Queen's ParkChampionship
- 1 May 2026Partick 1–1 Queen's ParkChampionship
- 27 December 2025Queen's Park 2–2 PartickChampionship
- 1 November 2025Partick 5–0 Queen's ParkChampionship
- 30 September 2025Queen's Park 0–1 PartickChampionship
- 11 March 2025Queen's Park 0–2 PartickChampionship
The result against the call
Partick won 1–0 at Queen's Park. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Partick at 51%. The goal: T. Watt 55' for Partick.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Queen's Park a 78.1% chance to finish in the bottom two: 71.8% after a win, 78.5% after a draw, 80.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 80.3%, 2.2 points higher than before the match.
For Partick the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 41.3% going in: 45.2% after a win, 39.2% after a draw, 31.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 45.2%, 3.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Championship season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.