RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: RAAL La Louvière 0-1 Cercle Brugge.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% RAAL La Louvière, 24% draw, 42% Cercle Brugge — fair odds of 2.94, 4.17 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Cercle Brugge at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 21M. PeanoG
- 3N. GillotD
- 4W. FayeD
- 22S. GourvilleD
- 25D. LamegoD
- 5T. LutondaD
- 29M. CourcoulM
- 10M. WadeM
- 78A. TajaouartM
- 90L. Rousseau
- 11M. IsahF
- 91T. RadeletG
- 18S. DelosD
- 44M. BoukamirD
- 33P. NkoaD
- 48I. CoulibalyM
- 7M. Kovacs
- 30Z. GruberF
- 43Q. BenaetsF
- 9E. FiletF
- 1G. CouckeG
- 2I. DiakiteD
- 24G. KondoD
- 33R. CaicedoD
- 30T. AkinsolaM
- 18L. Le RouxM
- 28H. van der BruggenM
- 12V. KonateM
- 71V. MartensF
- 15G. MagneeF
- 9S. NgouraF
- 21Y. LienardG
- 5E. KakouD
- 75S. GheerardynsD
- 82L. ColmanD
- 42L. MondeleM
- 41K. KouassiF
- 13D. VanzeirF
- 22L. MichalF
- 7A. K. OuattaraF
Form going into RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
Jupiler Pro League
- L2-5away to Charleroi1 November 2026
- W3-0Zulte Waregem24 October 2026
- L1-4Club Brugge KV10 October 2026
- L0-2away to OH Leuven19 September 2026
Cercle Brugge
Jupiler Pro League
- W2-1Antwerp1 November 2026
- L2-5away to Union St. Gilloise25 October 2026
- L1-2Anderlecht10 October 2026
- L2-3away to Charleroi19 September 2026
What these results say
- RAAL La Louvière failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- RAAL La Louvière scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- RAAL La Louvière conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Cercle Brugge scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Cercle Brugge conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Cercle Brugge had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | RAAL La Louvière | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge
- 9 May 2026RAAL La Louvière 4–1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 11 April 2026Cercle Brugge 3–0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- 15 March 2026Cercle Brugge 1–3 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- 2 November 2025RAAL La Louvière 2–1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: RAAL La Louvière and Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
GoalsAssists
- M. Ubandoma60
Cercle Brugge
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Cercle Brugge won 1–0 at RAAL La Louvière. The model had made a win for Cercle Brugge its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: S. Ngoura 6' for Cercle Brugge. On expected goals it finished 3.17–1.32.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave RAAL La Louvière a 36.5% chance to finish in the bottom two: 28.5% after a win, 36.2% after a draw, 41.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 41.8%, 5.3 points higher than before the match.
For Cercle Brugge the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 6.4% going in: 4.1% after a win, 6.5% after a draw, 8.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.1%, 2.3 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Jupiler Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on RAAL La Louvière v Cercle Brugge has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 31% / 25% / 44% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 34% / 24% / 42%: the biggest move is RAAL La Louvière's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- RAAL La Louvière win34%▲ +3
- Draw24%▼ −1
- Cercle Brugge win42%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.