Standard Liege vs SK Beveren Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Standard Liege 3-0 SK Beveren.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Standard Liege, 26% draw, 25% SK Beveren — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Standard Liege at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Standard Liege vs SK Beveren
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Matthieu EpoloG
- 18Henry LawrenceD
- 20Ibrahim KaramokoD
- 25Ibe HautekietD
- 3Gustav MortensenD
- 80Ryan FossoM
- 22Alexis TrouilletM
- 15Salieu DrammehM
- 84Rayan TouzgharM
- 11Adnane AbidM
- 10Dennis Eckert AyensaF
- 23Marco IlaimaharitraM
- 77Bruny NsimbaF
- 21Lucas PirardG
- 29Daan DierckxD
- 31Jordi MakieseM
- 6Laurens GoemaereM
- 7Tobias MohrM
- 19Sylvester JasperM
- 9Andi ZeqiriF
- 1Johannes SchenkG
- 21Laurent JansD
- 3Viktor BooneD
- 31Bruno GodeauD
- 4Christophe JanssensD
- 18Sieben DewaeleM
- 44Cheick Oumar CondéM
- 24Arno VerschuerenM
- 9Moise KaboréM
- 5Chris LokesaM
- 33Victor OlatunjiF
- 35Yoni GomisD
- 8Ferre SlegersM
- 77Stephane KellerD
- 84Josua Lusamba TshiololaG
- 48Jannik Thomas RobatschD
- 2Dominic ThompsonD
- 10Guillaume De SchryverM
- 92Lennart MertensF
- 22Christian BrülsM
Form going into Standard Liege vs SK Beveren
Standard Liege
Jupiler Pro League
- D1-1Kortrijk31 October 2026
- L1-2away to Genk25 October 2026
- L0-1Charleroi11 October 2026
- L1-2away to Gent18 September 2026
SK Beveren
Jupiler Pro League
- L1-2Union St. Gilloise31 October 2026
- D4-4away to KVC Westerlo24 October 2026
- L1-3Lommel United9 October 2026
- L0-1away to Kortrijk20 September 2026
What these results say
- Standard Liege did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Standard Liege conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Standard Liege scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- SK Beveren did not win any of these 4 matches.
- SK Beveren conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- SK Beveren scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 15 |
| 15 | SK Beveren | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Standard Liege vs SK Beveren
- 28 October 2025SK Beveren 1–2 Standard LiegeCup
- 11 January 2021Standard Liege 3–1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- 17 August 2020SK Beveren 1–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 21 December 2019SK Beveren 2–1 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 30 October 2019Standard Liege 2–0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- 17 March 2019Standard Liege 4–3 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Standard Liege and SK Beveren
Standard Liege
GoalsAssists
- D. Eckert Ayensa71
SK Beveren
GoalsAssists
- C. Lokesa50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Standard Liege beat SK Beveren 3–0. The model had made a win for Standard Liege its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: D. Eckert 5' for Standard Liege, D. Eckert (penalty) 64' for Standard Liege, D. Eckert 67' for Standard Liege. On expected goals it finished 2.11–0.57.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Standard Liege a 4.2% chance to finish in the bottom two: 2.5% after a win, 4.7% after a draw, 6.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 2.5%, 1.7 points lower than before the match.
For SK Beveren the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 19.3% going in: 12.0% after a win, 17.7% after a draw, 22.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 22.4%, 3.1 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Jupiler Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Standard Liege v SK Beveren has moved
First published on 23 Oct at 54% / 25% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 49% / 26% / 25%: the biggest move is Standard Liege's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Standard Liege win49%▼ −5
- Draw26%▲ +1
- SK Beveren win25%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.