Gremio sit 16th in the Serie A on 28 points from 27 matches, having scored 30 and conceded 38. The model rates their attack at 0.68× the league average and their defence at 1.37× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win and 4 defeats, most recently losing to Botafogo 2-3 away. That is 1.04 points a match, scoring 1.11 and conceding 1.41 per game across 7 wins, 7 draws and 13 defeats. That leaves them 29 points behind Flamengo at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 20th-best attack and the 19th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they host Palmeiras in the Serie A on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 30%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53 | 22 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 33 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 35 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 31 | +4 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 30 | +1 | 33 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Gremio | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 17 |
Gremio sit 16 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L2-3away to Botafogo16 September 2026
- L1-2Vasco da Gama12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Vitoria7 September 2026
- W3-1Chapecoense30 August 2026
- L0-1away to RB Bragantino23 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Gremio vs Palmeiras
Gremio host Palmeiras at Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre on 20 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 30% Gremio, 30% draw and 40% Palmeiras, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.11 expected goals for Gremio against 1.44. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Full preview and model analysis for Gremio vs Palmeiras
Recent meetings with Palmeiras
- 3 April 2026Palmeiras 2–1 GremioSerie A
- 26 November 2025Gremio 3–2 PalmeirasSerie A
- 27 July 2025Palmeiras 1–0 GremioSerie A
- 9 November 2024Palmeiras 1–0 GremioSerie A
- 4 July 2024Gremio 2–2 PalmeirasSerie A
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- Carlos Vinícius10 goals1 assists
League goals this season.