RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% RB Leipzig, 23% draw, 22% Borussia Mönchengladbach — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
RB Leipzig at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 26M. VandevoordtG
- 17R. BakuD
- 4W. OrbanD
- 23C. LukebaD
- 22D. RaumD
- 20R. ReitzM
- 13N. SeiwaldM
- 6E. BanzuziM
- 10B. GrudaF
- 27T. GomisF
- 7A. NusaF
- 25L. ZingerleG
- 35M. FinkgrafeD
- 39B. HenrichsD
- 3M. EsteveD
- 48A. VermeerenM
- 30A. MaksimovicM
- 28C. NkunkuF
- 11J. BakayokoF
- 9C. HarderF
- 1M. NicolasG
- 14D. HashiokaD
- 6K. ItakuraD
- 4K. DiksD
- 26L. UllrichD
- 16P. SanderM
- 7K. StogerM
- 38H. BolinM
- 36W. MohyaM
- 25R. HackM
- 11T. KleindienstF
- 33D. BatzG
- 20D. HeroldD
- 5J. LeszczynskiD
- 29J. ScallyD
- 34M. NguefackM
- 8E. LeopoldM
- 18S. MachinoF
- 9F. HonoratM
- 3I. LidbergF
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 11 April 2026RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
- 28 November 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
- 29 March 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
- 9 November 2024RB Leipzig 0–0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
- 17 February 2024RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Leading scorers: RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
GoalsAssists
- C. Nkunku52
- Rômulo50
- A. Nusa47
Borussia Mönchengladbach
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
RB Leipzig beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0. The model had made a win for RB Leipzig its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: R. Baku 25' for RB Leipzig, A. Nusa 49' for RB Leipzig, R. Reitz 66' for RB Leipzig. On expected goals it finished 3.95–0.91.