Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Union Berlin, 25% draw, 25% Eintracht Frankfurt — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Union Berlin at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31M. RaabG
- 18J. JuranovicD
- 14L. QuerfeldD
- 4Z. Van Den BoschD
- 15T. RotheD
- 6A. KemleinM
- 20M. AebischerM
- 8R. KhediraM
- 13A. SchaferM
- 27M. LjubicicF
- 29E. Latte LathF
- 25C. KlausG
- 28C. TrimmelD
- 2F. UduokhaiD
- 17D. KohnD
- 19J. HabererM
- 11Jeong Woo-YeongM
- 21T. SkarkeM
- 9L. BurcuF
- 49L. GutherF
- 1N. AtuboluG
- 2E. BaumD
- 4R. KochD
- 37J. MaluzeD
- 26K. KosugiD
- 29A. AmaimouniM
- 8F. ChaibiM
- 25R. OnyedikaM
- 42C. UzunM
- 11Y. EbnoutalibF
- 9J. BurkardtF
- 40Kaua SantosG
- 22T. ChandlerD
- 5OtavioD
- 27M. GotzeM
- 19J. BahoyaF
- 31L. ArrhovM
- 6O. HojlundM
- 15N. Aseko-NkiliM
- 35M. PimpongF
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 7 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- 6 February 2026Union Berlin 1–1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 21 September 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 3–4 Union BerlinBundesliga
- 9 March 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Union BerlinBundesliga
- 27 October 2024Union Berlin 1–1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 30 March 2024Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Leading scorers: Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Eintracht Frankfurt
GoalsAssists
- Y. Ebnoutalib61
- J. Burkardt51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Union Berlin at 50% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: E. Latte Lath 3' for Union Berlin, Y. Ebnoutalib 10' for Eintracht Frankfurt, Y. Ebnoutalib 11' for Eintracht Frankfurt, Y. Ebnoutalib 67' for Eintracht Frankfurt, L. Querfeld 79' for Union Berlin, T. Skarke 90' for Union Berlin. On expected goals it finished 1.92–1.37.