29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Academico Viseu vs FC Porto Primeira Liga prediction & result

Viseu
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Academico Viseu 0-3 FC Porto.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Academico Viseu, 27% draw, 36% FC Porto — fair odds of 2.70, 3.70 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Academico Viseu at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Academico Viseu0%Draw1%FC Porto99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽Andre Silva
18'
🔁Zaiduout: M. Fernandes
20'
⚽G. Veigaassist: Pepe
38'
⚽William Gomesassist: G. Veiga
46'
🔁J. Bednarekout: N. Perez
🔁L. Silvaout: A. Mestanza
58'
🔁L. Gohiout: N. Mortimer
58'
60'
🔁William Gomesout: Hwang In-Beom
60'
🔁Pepêout: B. Sainz
🔁C. Kahramanout: A. Ceitil
70'
🔁Andre Clovisout: M. Bouldini
70'
82'
🔁A. Costaout: A. Varela
🔁N. Michelisout: Pedro Barcelos
84'

Match stats — Academico Viseu vs FC Porto

57%Possession43%
9Shots5
1On target4
1Corners1
0.8xG1.47

Goals against chances

Academico Viseu0 from 0.80 xGless than the chances were worth
FC Porto3 from 1.47 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Academico Viseu 4-3-3
  • 98EwertonG
  • 75Robinho
  • 41A. CorreiaD
  • 2N. MichelisD
  • 57Gu CostaD
  • 8C. KahramanM
  • 7L. SilvaM
  • 14S. MesseguemM
  • 31Joao GuilhermeF
  • 33Andre ClovisF
  • 47L. GohiF
Substitutes
  • 12J. SorianoG
  • 1M. LavinG
  • 21T. DomingosD
  • 5Pedro BarcelosD
  • 44R. PereiraD
  • 45A. MestanzaM
  • 6A. CeitilM
  • 18C. FerreiraM
  • 29A. Babic
Coach: Bruno Pinheiro
FC Porto 4-3-3
  • 99D. CostaG
  • 20A. CostaD
  • 5J. BednarekD
  • 4J. KiwiorD
  • 12ZaiduD
  • 8V. FroholdtM
  • 13P. RosarioM
  • 10G. VeigaM
  • 7William GomesF
  • 19Andre SilvaF
  • 11PepêF
Substitutes
  • 14Claudio RamosG
  • 24J. CostaG
  • 18N. PerezD
  • 52M. FernandesD
  • 21D. PrpicD
  • 74F. MouraD
  • 16Hwang In-BeomM
  • 22A. VarelaM
  • 58T. Silva
Coach: Francesco Farioli

Form going into Academico Viseu vs FC Porto

Academico Viseu

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to Maritimo22 August 2026
  • L0-1Santa Clara15 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Benfica9 August 2026

FC Porto

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Arouca23 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Rio Ave15 August 2026
  • W2-0Alverca9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Academico Viseu116231513+220
1FC Porto111100275+2233

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Academico Viseu vs FC Porto

  • 8 February 2023Academico Viseu 0–1 FC PortoTaça de Portugal
  • 25 January 2023FC Porto 3–0 Academico ViseuTaça da Liga
  • 17 July 2021FC Porto 3–2 Academico ViseuFriendlies Clubs
  • 12 February 2020FC Porto 3–0 Academico ViseuTaça de Portugal
  • 4 February 2020Academico Viseu 1–1 FC PortoTaça de Portugal

The full Academico Viseu vs FC Porto record →

Leading scorers: Academico Viseu and FC Porto

Academico Viseu

GoalsAssists

  • André Clóvis51
  • S. Messeguem31
  • João Guilherme30

FC Porto

GoalsAssists

  • Borja Sainz61
  • Gabri Veiga54
  • André Silva42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Porto won 3–0 at Academico Viseu. The model had leaned towards a win for Academico Viseu at 37% and given a win for FC Porto 36%. The goals: Andre Silva 5' for FC Porto, G. Veiga 20' for FC Porto, William Gomes 38' for FC Porto. On expected goals it finished 0.80–1.47.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.