Academico Viseu vs FC Porto Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Academico Viseu 0-3 FC Porto.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Academico Viseu, 27% draw, 36% FC Porto — fair odds of 2.70, 3.70 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Academico Viseu at 37% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Academico Viseu vs FC Porto
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 98EwertonG
- 75Robinho
- 41A. CorreiaD
- 2N. MichelisD
- 57Gu CostaD
- 8C. KahramanM
- 7L. SilvaM
- 14S. MesseguemM
- 31Joao GuilhermeF
- 33Andre ClovisF
- 47L. GohiF
- 12J. SorianoG
- 1M. LavinG
- 21T. DomingosD
- 5Pedro BarcelosD
- 44R. PereiraD
- 45A. MestanzaM
- 6A. CeitilM
- 18C. FerreiraM
- 29A. Babic
- 99D. CostaG
- 20A. CostaD
- 5J. BednarekD
- 4J. KiwiorD
- 12ZaiduD
- 8V. FroholdtM
- 13P. RosarioM
- 10G. VeigaM
- 7William GomesF
- 19Andre SilvaF
- 11PepêF
- 14Claudio RamosG
- 24J. CostaG
- 18N. PerezD
- 52M. FernandesD
- 21D. PrpicD
- 74F. MouraD
- 16Hwang In-BeomM
- 22A. VarelaM
- 58T. Silva
Form going into Academico Viseu vs FC Porto
Academico Viseu
- D2-2away to Maritimo22 August 2026
- L0-1Santa Clara15 August 2026
FC Porto
- W2-0Arouca23 August 2026
- W2-0away to Rio Ave15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Academico Viseu vs FC Porto
- 29 August 2026Academico Viseu 0–3 FC PortoPrimeira Liga
- 8 February 2023Academico Viseu 0–1 FC PortoTaça de Portugal
- 25 January 2023FC Porto 3–0 Academico ViseuTaça da Liga
- 17 July 2021FC Porto 3–2 Academico ViseuFriendlies Clubs
- 12 February 2020FC Porto 3–0 Academico ViseuTaça de Portugal
- 4 February 2020Academico Viseu 1–1 FC PortoTaça de Portugal
Leading scorers: Academico Viseu and FC Porto
Academico Viseu
- André Clóvis2 goals
FC Porto
- Gabri Veiga3 goals3 assists
- Borja Sainz3 goals
- André Silva3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.