18 October 2026, 12:30 UTC

Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach Bundesliga prediction & result

Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Referee: Alain Sadikovski
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Red Bull Salzburg 3-0 SCR Altach.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% Red Bull Salzburg, 22% draw, 13% SCR Altach — fair odds of 1.54, 4.55 and 7.69.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Red Bull Salzburg at 65%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Red Bull Salzburg99%Draw1%SCR Altach0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Haris Tabakovićassist: Jesper Lindstrom
6'
🔁Edmund Baidooout: Damir Redzic
56'
🔁Gaoussou Diakitéout: Yorbe Vertessen
56'
59'
🔁Rodney Elongo-Yomboout: Denizcan Cosgun
🔁Bartosz Mazurekout: Umut Deger Tohumcu
65'
72'
🔁Yann massomboout: srdan hristic
72'
🔁Vesel Demakuout: Yanis Eisschill
⚽Jesper Lindstrom
73'
🔁Leandro Morgallaout: Tim Drexler
80'
🔁Haris Tabakovićout: Sota Kitano
80'
81'
🔁Niklas Niehoffout: Johannes Naschberger
81'
🔁Benjamin·Bockleout: Jakob Brandtner
84'
Filip Milojevic
⚽Damir Redzicassist: Sota Kitano
89'

Match stats — Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach

65%Possession35%
20Shots13
8On target3
6Corners1
2.94xG0.58

Goals against chances

Red Bull Salzburg3 from 2.94 xGabout what the chances were worth
SCR Altach0 from 0.58 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1
  • 52Christian ZawieschitzkyG
  • 39L. MorgallaD
  • 44K. BomaD
  • 47Valentin ZabranskyD
  • 31D. SchmidD
  • 15B. MazurekM
  • 32A. BarryM
  • 20E. BaidooM
  • 30G. DiakitéM
  • 35J. LindstrømM
  • 9H. TabakovićF
Substitutes
  • 33A. CamaraM
  • 21T. DrexlerD
  • 1C. FrüchtlG
  • 8S. KitanoF
  • 13F. KrätzigD
  • 22S. LainerD
  • 23D. RedzicF
  • 7U. TohumcuM
  • 11Y. VertessenF
Coach: D. Röhl
SCR Altach 5-3-2
  • 1D. StojanovicG
  • 29N. NiehoffD
  • 23B. ZechD
  • 27Filip MilojevicD
  • 17L. JägerD
  • 37B. BöckleD
  • 28Y. MassomboM
  • 6V. DemakuM
  • 18P. GreilM
  • 10O. DiawaraF
  • 39R. Elongo-YomboF
Substitutes
  • 14J. NaschbergerM
  • 19S. HrstićF
  • 22Y. EisschillM
  • 16R. RahmaniD
  • 7D. CosgunM
  • 21Jakob BrandtnerD
  • 31D. AntoschG
  • 34A. VonbrulM
  • 11S. NakanoF
Coach: O. Zaric

Form going into Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach

Red Bull Salzburg

Bundesliga

  • D0-0away to Grazer AK10 October 2026

SCR Altach

Bundesliga

  • W3-0Wolfsberger AC11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Red Bull Salzburg12930339+2430
9SCR Altach123181120-910

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach

  • 4 March 2026Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 SCR AltachCup
  • 30 November 2025SCR Altach 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 19 October 2025Red Bull Salzburg 2–2 SCR AltachBundesliga
  • 9 March 2025SCR Altach 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 19 October 2024Red Bull Salzburg 2–1 SCR AltachBundesliga
  • 28 October 2023Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 SCR AltachBundesliga

Leading scorers: Red Bull Salzburg and SCR Altach

Red Bull Salzburg

GoalsAssists

  • H. Tabaković80
  • K. Konaté40
  • Y. Vertessen33

SCR Altach

No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Red Bull Salzburg beat SCR Altach 3–0. The model had made a win for Red Bull Salzburg its most likely outcome, at 65%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Haris Tabaković 6' for Red Bull Salzburg, Jesper Lindstrom 73' for Red Bull Salzburg, Damir Redzic 89' for Red Bull Salzburg. On expected goals it finished 2.94–0.58.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Red Bull Salzburg a 24.5% chance to finish top of the regular season: 27.0% after a win, 18.9% after a draw, 12.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 27.0%, 2.5 points higher than before the match.

For SCR Altach the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 45.0% going in: 31.5% after a win, 39.2% after a draw, 47.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 47.9%, 2.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Red Bull Salzburg v SCR Altach has moved

First published on 4 Oct at 61% / 24% / 15% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 65% / 22% / 13%: the biggest move is Red Bull Salzburg's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Red Bull Salzburg win65%▲ +4
  2. Draw22%▼ −2
  3. SCR Altach win13%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.