Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Wolfsberger AC 0-2 WSG Wattens.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Wolfsberger AC, 28% draw, 33% WSG Wattens — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Wolfsberger AC at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12L. GliklichG
- 31F. WohlmuthD
- 15Cheikh Mamadou DiabatéD
- 25Adama DraméD
- 11A. SchwarzD
- 30M. SulznerM
- 17Marco SchabauerM
- 36D. FitzM
- 34E. AgyemangM
- 9G. VrioniF
- 23P. VerhounigF
- 10D. AvdijajM
- 6R. BehounekD
- 1L. GütlbauerG
- 7L. HasslerM
- 49S. KaramokoF
- 35Matteo KitzD
- 32M. PinkF
- 20T. SchrieblM
- 70David ĐurićD
- 1S. HamzićG
- 23M. BorasD
- 14D. KubattaD
- 3D. GugganigD
- 28M. OswaldD
- 30M. TafernerM
- 6Marc StriednigM
- 36T. GoigingerM
- 37M. WelsM
- 17M. OlakigbeM
- 8N. FrederiksenF
- 5D. MurrayD
- 10T. SabitzerF
- 11M. ŞatinM
- 27D. JauneggD
- 16L. HinterseerF
- 32Raphael GschösserM
- 13A. EckmayrG
- 43N. ČelićM
- 18H. BalićF
Form going into Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
- L0-3away to SCR Altach11 October 2026
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
- L1-2Ried10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens
- 16 May 2026Wolfsberger AC 2–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 4 April 2026WSG Wattens 3–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 2 November 2025Wolfsberger AC 0–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 31 August 2025WSG Wattens 1–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 22 February 2025WSG Wattens 3–3 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 29 September 2024Wolfsberger AC 1–3 WSG WattensBundesliga
Leading scorers: Wolfsberger AC and WSG Wattens
Wolfsberger AC
GoalsAssists
- G. Vrioni40
WSG Wattens
GoalsAssists
- N. Frederiksen50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
WSG Wattens won 2–0 at Wolfsberger AC. The model had leaned towards a win for Wolfsberger AC at 39% and given a win for WSG Wattens 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Moritz Wels 38' for WSG Wattens, David Kubatta 60' for WSG Wattens. On expected goals it finished 1.91–1.69.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Wolfsberger AC a 67.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 57.1% after a win, 69.5% after a draw, 78.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 78.5%, 11.3 points higher than before the match.
For WSG Wattens the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 36.6% going in: 23.8% after a win, 37.1% after a draw, 46.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.8%, 12.8 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.