17 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

RED Star FC 93 vs Saint Etienne Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Bauer, Paris - Saint-Ouen
Referee: Antoine Valnet
Full time0 – 1

Final score: RED Star FC 93 0-1 Saint Etienne.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% RED Star FC 93, 28% draw, 36% Saint Etienne — fair odds of 2.78, 3.57 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

RED Star FC 93 at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

RED Star FC 930%Draw4%Saint Etienne96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
⚽Irvin Cardonaassist: Jakob Breum
28'
🔁Julien Le Cardinalout: João Ferreira
39'
João Ferreira
Jovany Ikanga A Ngele
44'
48'
Ben Old
52'
🔁Irvin Cardonaout: Zuriko Davitashvili
🔁Matthieu Huardout: Saîf-Eddine Khaoui
65'
🔁Jovany Ikanga A Ngeleout: Theo Magnin
66'
72'
🔁Ben Oldout: Mahmoud Jaber
72'
🔁Thierno Balloout: Joshua Duffus
🔁Godson Kyeremehout: Ilija Despotovic
74'
🔁Elyaz Zidaneout: Leonardo Daniel Ulineia Buta
81'
🔁Kémo Cisséout: Idrissa Sabaly
81'
Damien Durand
90+5'

Match stats — RED Star FC 93 vs Saint Etienne

58%Possession42%
5Shots9
1On target3
4Corners5
0.31xG0.96

Goals against chances

RED Star FC 930 from 0.31 xGabout what the chances were worth
Saint Etienne1 from 0.96 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

RED Star FC 93 4-2-3-1
  • 16G. PoussinG
  • 20D. DurivauxD
  • 5J. EscartinD
  • 4E. ZidaneD
  • 3M. HuardD
  • 17S. RenelM
  • 19I. HalifaM
  • 27G. KyeremehM
  • 11K. CisséM
  • 7D. DurandM
  • 23J. Ikanga A NgeleF
Substitutes
  • 80C. Bianay BalcotD
  • 6B. DangerD
  • 9I. DespotovicF
  • 10S. KhaouiM
  • 45Cheick KonateM
  • 1Yanis Benchaouch MartyG
  • 2T. MagninD
  • 21Idrissa SabalyM
  • 25Leonardo ButaD
Coach: D. Perrinelle
Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
  • 1Mamour NdiayeG
  • 23K. PedroD
  • 26J. Le CardinalD
  • 18S. NairD
  • 11B. OldD
  • 6M. BernauerM
  • 14Á. CsongvaiM
  • 20A. BoakyeM
  • 10J. BreumM
  • 8T. BalloM
  • 7I. CardonaF
Substitutes
  • 32Adam BaallalM
  • 22Z. DavitashviliF
  • 46E. DhaouiM
  • 17J. DuffusF
  • 31N. El JamaliM
  • 13João FerreiraD
  • 5M. JaberM
  • 37N. Kasia NkondoD
  • 40L. LavalléeG
Coach: Ian Cathro

Form going into RED Star FC 93 vs Saint Etienne

RED Star FC 93

Ligue 2

  • W3-2away to Clermont Foot10 October 2026

Saint Etienne

Ligue 2

  • W2-0Rodez10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8RED Star FC 93125251417-317
1Saint Etienne129122511+1428

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: RED Star FC 93 vs Saint Etienne

  • 7 March 2026Saint Etienne 2–0 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
  • 1 November 2025RED Star FC 93 2–1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • 10 February 2015RED Star FC 93 1–2 Saint EtienneCoupe de France

Leading scorers: RED Star FC 93 and Saint Etienne

RED Star FC 93

GoalsAssists

  • D. Durand50
  • J. Ikanga A Ngele42

Saint Etienne

GoalsAssists

  • I. Cardona65
  • A. Boakye63
  • T. Ballo52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Saint Etienne won 1–0 at RED Star FC 93. The goal: Irvin Cardona 13' for Saint Etienne. On expected goals it finished 0.31–0.96.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave RED Star FC 93 a 46.3% chance to finish in the top four: 53.2% after a win, 43.0% after a draw, 41.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 41.7%, 4.6 points lower than before the match.

For Saint Etienne the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 36.0% going in: 42.0% after a win, 33.3% after a draw, 31.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 42.0%, 6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 2 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.