18 October 2026, 22:30 UTC

Remo vs RB Bragantino Serie A prediction & result

Estadio Evandro Almeida, Belem
Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Remo 1-1 RB Bragantino.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Remo, 29% draw, 34% RB Bragantino — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Remo at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Remo4%Draw93%RB Bragantino3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽Lucas Henrique Barbosa
36'
•Fernando dos Santos Pedro
🔁David Francisco·Trindade Bragaout: Jandir Breno Souza Silva
45'
🔁José Welisonout: Eduardo Melo
45'
45'
🔁Gustavo Marques Alves dos Santosout: Alix Vinicius
Zé Ivaldo
48'
⚽Jandir Breno Souza Silvaassist: Gabriel Taliari
55'
64'
Eric Ramires
65'
🔁Eduardo Sashaout: Matheus Fernandes
🔁Antonio Galeanoout: Glaybson Yago Souza Lisboa
68'
🔁Patrick Bezerra do Nascimentoout: Leonel Picco
68'
72'
🔁Wallace Yanout: Jose Herrera
Gabriel Taliari
79'
🔁Ze Ricardoout: Vitor Bueno
81'
86'
🔁Fábio Silva de Freitasout: Gabriel Girotto
86'
🔁Eric Ramiresout: Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos

Match stats — Remo vs RB Bragantino

54%Possession46%
25Shots16
6On target5
14Corners3
1.5xG2.44

Goals against chances

Remo1 from 1.50 xGless than the chances were worth
RB Bragantino1 from 2.44 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Remo 5-4-1
  • 97IvanG
  • 79MarcelinhoD
  • 13MarllonD
  • 28José WelisonD
  • 27Zé IvaldoD
  • 6MarlonD
  • 26David FranciscoM
  • 55Zé RicardoM
  • 8PatrickM
  • 21A. GaleanoM
  • 19Gabriel TaliariF
Substitutes
  • 39Eduardo MeloF
  • 35Edson FernandoM
  • 9Gabriel PovedaF
  • 7Jája SilvaM
  • 5Leo AndradeD
  • 2Matheus AlexandreD
  • 14L. PiccoM
  • 15Vitor BuenoF
  • 22Yago PikachuM
Coach: Thiago Carpini
RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
  • 18Tiago VolpiG
  • 52Ryan TavaresD
  • 16Gustavo MarquesD
  • 2Guzmán RodríguezD
  • 29Juninho CapixabaD
  • 5FabinhoM
  • 7Eric RamiresM
  • 21Lucas BarbosaM
  • 47WallaceM
  • 11FernandoM
  • 8Eduardo SashaF
Substitutes
  • 35Matheus FernandesM
  • 6GabrielM
  • 3Eduardo SantosD
  • 32J. HerreraF
  • 17ViniciusF
  • 9I. PittaF
  • 23A. Sant'AnnaD
  • 1CleitonG
  • 15I. SosaM
Coach: Vagner Mancini

Form going into Remo vs RB Bragantino

Remo

Serie A

  • D0-0away to Vasco da Gama10 October 2026

RB Bragantino

Serie A

  • W4-2Cruzeiro13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
19Remo34611173757-2029
8RB Bragantino34138134439+547

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Remo vs RB Bragantino

  • 19 April 2026RB Bragantino 4–2 RemoSerie A

Leading scorers: Remo and RB Bragantino

Remo

GoalsAssists

  • Jája Silva91

RB Bragantino

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 44 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Remo and RB Bragantino drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Remo at 37% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Lucas Henrique Barbosa 10' for RB Bragantino, Jandir Breno Souza Silva 55' for Remo. On expected goals it finished 1.50–2.44.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Remo a 91.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 85.8% after a win, 94.7% after a draw, 96.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 94.7%, 3.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Serie A season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.