16 October 2026, 18:30 UTC

Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole I Liga prediction & result

Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski
Referee: K. Arys
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Ruch Chorzów 3-0 Odra Opole.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Ruch Chorzów, 32% draw, 23% Odra Opole — fair odds of 2.22, 3.13 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ruch Chorzów at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ruch Chorzów99%Draw1%Odra Opole0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽S. Szymanski (pen)
34'
T. Sutherland
52'
54'
M. Spychala
⚽T. Sutherlandassist: M. Chrapek
58'
61'
🔁M. Spychalaout: B. Spacil
61'
🔁M. Stasout: B. Baranski
🔁T. Sutherlandout: K. Rostek
63'
🔁D. Szczepanout: M. Pawlowski
70'
70'
J. Pochciol
🔁M. Chrapekout: S. Nagamatsu
71'
⚽S. Szymanski (pen)
76'
77'
🔁P. Szyszout: J. Perez
77'
🔁B. Biedrzyckiout: F. Kupczyk
77'
🔁M. Feliksout: S. Gieroba
🔁P. Szwedzikout: D. Ventura
89'

Line-ups

Ruch Chorzów
Coach: Waldemar Fornalik
Odra Opole
Coach: Lukasz Tomczyk

Form going into Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole

Ruch Chorzów

I Liga

  • W2-0away to ŁKS Łódź11 October 2026

Odra Opole

I Liga

  • W1-0Miedz Legnica11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Ruch Chorzów146441714+322
18Odra Opole143381121-1012

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole

  • 3 May 2026Ruch Chorzów 2–0 Odra OpoleI Liga
  • 31 January 2026Ruch Chorzów 2–2 Odra OpoleFriendlies Clubs
  • 24 October 2025Odra Opole 1–1 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
  • 7 February 2025Ruch Chorzów 1–0 Odra OpoleFriendlies Clubs
  • 29 November 2024Ruch Chorzów 6–0 Odra OpoleI Liga

The result against the call

Ruch Chorzów beat Odra Opole 3–0. The model had made a win for Ruch Chorzów its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: S. Szymanski (penalty) 34' for Ruch Chorzów, T. Sutherland 58' for Ruch Chorzów, S. Szymanski (penalty) 76' for Ruch Chorzów.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ruch Chorzów a 26.6% chance to finish in the top four: 30.8% after a win, 23.8% after a draw, 19.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 30.8%, 4.2 points higher than before the match.

For Odra Opole the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 22.4% going in: 14.4% after a win, 20.8% after a draw, 26.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 26.4%, 4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our I Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Ruch Chorzów v Odra Opole has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 42% / 32% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 45% / 32% / 23%: the biggest move is Ruch Chorzów's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Ruch Chorzów win45%▲ +3
  2. Draw32%=
  3. Odra Opole win23%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.