19 October 2026, 19:15 UTC

SC Braga vs GIL Vicente Primeira Liga prediction & result

Braga
Referee: Gustavo Correia
Full time1 – 2

Final score: SC Braga 1-2 GIL Vicente.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% SC Braga, 28% draw, 22% GIL Vicente — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SC Braga at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

25'
Mohamed Kaba
•Pau Victor
33'
⚽Pau Victor
33'
38'
Luís Miguel Correia Pinto
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
41'
45'
🔁Mohamed Kabaout: Walace França
🔁Jonas Windout: Victor Gómez
45'
49'
⚽Walace Françaassist: Murilo Souza
57'
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert
64'
🔁Gil Pinto Martinsout: Tidjany Chabrol Toure
64'
🔁Diogo Priosteout: Jose Carlos Natario Ferreira
🔁João Moutinhoout: Demir Ege Tıknaz
66'
72'
⚽Diogo Martins Travassos (OG)
🔁Vitor Carvalhoout: Fra Navarro
77'
🔁Diogo Martins Travassosout: Gabriel Silva
77'
🔁Jean-Baptiste Gorbyout: Denis Huseinbasic
77'
82'
🔁Murilo Souzaout: Joelson Fernandes
Victor Gómez
83'
89'
Jose Carlos Natario Ferreira
90+2'
🔁Andreas Lausenout: Gonçalo Maia Pereira
Ricardo Horta
90+6'

Match stats — SC Braga vs GIL Vicente

60%Possession40%
18Shots10
6On target4
4Corners1
1.4xG1.54

Goals against chances

SC Braga1 from 1.40 xGabout what the chances were worth
GIL Vicente2 from 1.54 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

SC Braga 3-4-2-1
  • 31Bernardo FontesG
  • 14G. LagerbielkeD
  • 6Vitor CarvalhoD
  • 44A. BajramiD
  • 7Diogo TravassosM
  • 8João MoutinhoM
  • 29J. GorbyM
  • 10Pau VictorM
  • 21Ricardo HortaM
  • 50Diego RodriguesM
  • 19J. WindF
Substitutes
  • 22Sergio BarciaD
  • 20M. DorgelesM
  • 34E. TıknazM
  • 11Gabriel SilvaF
  • 9Fran NavarroF
  • 77Gabri MartínezF
  • 12Tiago SáG
  • 23D. HuseinbašićM
  • 2Víctor GómezD
Coach: Carlos Vicens
GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1
  • 30LucãoG
  • 47Ricardo EsgaioD
  • 4M. Elimbi GilbertD
  • 39Jonathan BuatuD
  • 45David MoreiraD
  • 12A. LausenM
  • 86Diogo Ferreira PriosteM
  • 77MuriloM
  • 10Santi GarcíaM
  • 20Gil Pinto MartinsM
  • 99M. KabaF
Substitutes
  • 16Gui BelezaM
  • 3EspigaresD
  • 32M. FernándezM
  • 1A. PicornellG
  • 82Gonçalo Maia PereiraM
  • 11Joelson FernandesF
  • 27A. MoreiraF
  • 6Zé CarlosM
  • 94SamuelG
Coach: Luís Pinto

Form going into SC Braga vs GIL Vicente

SC Braga

Primeira Liga

  • L1-3Sporting CP9 October 2026

GIL Vicente

Primeira Liga

  • W1-0away to Moreirense9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8SC Braga115241311+217
7GIL Vicente11533108+218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SC Braga vs GIL Vicente

  • 14 February 2026GIL Vicente 2–1 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
  • 14 September 2025SC Braga 0–1 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
  • 9 February 2025SC Braga 2–0 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
  • 1 September 2024GIL Vicente 0–0 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
  • 16 March 2024SC Braga 2–1 GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
  • 28 October 2023GIL Vicente 3–3 SC BragaPrimeira Liga

The full SC Braga vs GIL Vicente record →

Leading scorers: SC Braga and GIL Vicente

SC Braga

GoalsAssists

  • Pau Victor51

GIL Vicente

No player in Primeira Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

GIL Vicente won 2–1 at SC Braga. The model had leaned towards a win for SC Braga at 50% and given a win for GIL Vicente 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Pau Victor 33' for SC Braga, Walace França 49' for GIL Vicente, Diogo Martins Travassos (own goal) 72' for GIL Vicente. On expected goals it finished 1.40–1.54.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.