6 November 2026, 18:30 UTC

SC Kriens vs Rapperswil Challenge League prediction & result

Stadion Kleinfeld, Kriens
Referee: J. von Mandach
Full time1 – 0

Final score: SC Kriens 1-0 Rapperswil.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% SC Kriens, 23% draw, 23% Rapperswil — fair odds of 1.85, 4.35 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SC Kriens at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SC Kriens96%Draw4%Rapperswil0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

29'
V. Hamdiu
L. Maksutaj
32'
🔁K. Trondleout: D. Ulrich
41'
🔁L. Maksutajout: M. Ishuayed
59'
🔁B. Mulliqiout: M. Willimann
59'
69'
🔁S. Diarrassoubaout: E. Senaya
69'
🔁R. Bobadillaout: N. Mupemba
🔁N. Siegristout: L. Riedmann
73'
🔁E. Rufenerout: R. Hoxha
73'
77'
🔁Y. Ryterout: I. Maslarov
77'
🔁V. Hamdiuout: A. Charveys
⚽A. Krasniqi
84'
86'
🔁W. Le Pogamout: M. Kurtishi

Line-ups

SC Kriens
Coach: Michael Winsauer
Rapperswil
Coach: Selcuk Sasivari

Form going into SC Kriens vs Rapperswil

SC Kriens

Challenge League

  • D2-2away to Étoile Carouge30 October 2026
  • L2-5away to Yverdon Sport25 October 2026
  • D1-1FC WIL 19009 October 2026
  • W4-1Étoile Carouge18 September 2026

Rapperswil

Challenge League

  • L1-4Stade Nyonnais30 October 2026
  • D2-2away to FC WIL 190023 October 2026
  • L0-3Stade Lausanne-Ouchy9 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Neuchatel Xamax FC18 September 2026

What these results say

  • SC Kriens scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • SC Kriens conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for SC Kriens.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Rapperswil had three goals or more.
  • Rapperswil failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Rapperswil scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4SC Kriens135442219+319
9Rapperswil133281826-811

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SC Kriens vs Rapperswil

  • 1 September 2026Rapperswil 1–1 SC KriensChallenge League
  • 26 April 2025SC Kriens 1–5 Rapperswil1. Liga Promotion
  • 23 October 2024Rapperswil 0–2 SC Kriens1. Liga Promotion
  • 13 April 2024Rapperswil 4–1 SC Kriens1. Liga Promotion
  • 7 October 2023SC Kriens 2–5 Rapperswil1. Liga Promotion
  • 18 March 2023SC Kriens 2–0 Rapperswil1. Liga Promotion

The result against the call

SC Kriens beat Rapperswil 1–0. The model had made a win for SC Kriens its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: A. Krasniqi 84' for SC Kriens.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SC Kriens a 39.8% chance to finish in the top four: 48.1% after a win, 31.8% after a draw, 22.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 48.1%, 8.3 points higher than before the match.

For Rapperswil the question was the chance to finish in the bottom one, 11.1% going in: 2.8% after a win, 8.8% after a draw, 14.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.4%, 3.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Challenge League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on SC Kriens v Rapperswil has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 53% / 25% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 54% / 23% / 23%: the biggest move is the draw, down 2 points.

  1. SC Kriens win54%▲ +1
  2. Draw23%▼ −2
  3. Rapperswil win23%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.