25 October 2026, 11:15 UTC

Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Tarczynski Arena
Referee: Mateusz Piszczelok
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Slask Wroclaw 2-0 Wieczysta Kraków.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Slask Wroclaw, 25% draw, 34% Wieczysta Kraków — fair odds of 2.44, 4.00 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Slask Wroclaw at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slask Wroclaw99%Draw1%Wieczysta Kraków0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
Karol Fila
⚽Malaly Dembeleassist: Piotr Samiec-Talar
24'
45'
Petar Pusic
⚽Przemyslaw Banaszakassist: Piotr Samiec-Talar
45+3'
45'
🔁Matúš Vojtkoout: Lisandro Semedo
45'
🔁Petar Pusicout: Ben Lederman
57'
🔁Karol Filaout: Kamil Dankowski
57'
🔁Tobias Christensenout: José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido
🔁Piotr Samiec-Talarout: Adam Ciućka
62'
Dominik Szala
70'
🔁Malaly Dembeleout: luka marjanac
73'
🔁Przemyslaw Banaszakout: Leltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes
73'
76'
🔁Efthymios Koulourisout: Bartosz Bialek
Lamine Ba
78'
🔁Alex Timossi Anderssonout: Adrian Żulewski
83'
🔁Karol Linettyout: Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
84'
luka marjanac
89'

Match stats — Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków

46%Possession54%
15Shots16
4On target4
4Corners7
2.85xG1.69

Goals against chances

Slask Wroclaw2 from 2.85 xGless than the chances were worth
Wieczysta Kraków0 from 1.69 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw 5-3-2
  • 1K. NiemczyckiG
  • 21A. Timossi AnderssonD
  • 2D. SzalaD
  • 5L. BaD
  • 44M. MalecD
  • 27Jan JurčecD
  • 7P. Samiec-TalarM
  • 17K. LinettyM
  • 77E. ShabaniM
  • 19P. BanaszakF
  • 10M. DembéléF
Substitutes
  • 33E. MatsenkoD
  • 18K. BorysM
  • 25M. SzromnikG
  • 31H. SliczniakG
  • 20G. TomasiewiczM
  • 88A. CiuckaM
  • 4M. DijakovicD
  • 9Ieltsin CamõesF
  • 26A. ZulewskiD
Coach: A. Šimundža
Wieczysta Kraków 3-4-3
  • 77M. KochalskiG
  • 15A. ĐermanovićD
  • 16A. MilićD
  • 33K. PestkaD
  • 4K. FilaM
  • 70P. PušićM
  • 20M. MaigaardM
  • 27M. VojtkoM
  • 10T. ChristensenF
  • 9E. KoulourisF
  • 12Lucas PiazónF
Substitutes
  • 17K. DankowskiD
  • 19José de la RosaF
  • 55D. DujmovićD
  • 11N. KneževićM
  • 8B. LedermanM
  • 88C. LungoyiF
  • 23Miki VillarM
  • 1A. MikułkoG
  • 7Lisandro SemedoF
Coach: Ž. Kopić

Form going into Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków

Slask Wroclaw

Ekstraklasa

  • L2-3away to Motor Lublin17 October 2026
  • L1-4Lech Poznan10 October 2026

Wieczysta Kraków

Ekstraklasa

  • L1-2Raków Częstochowa16 October 2026
  • L1-2away to GKS Katowice12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Slask Wroclaw142481725-810
18Wieczysta Kraków1422101828-108

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków

  • 30 November 2025Wieczysta Kraków 3–3 Slask WroclawI Liga
  • 18 July 2025Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Wieczysta KrakówI Liga

Leading scorers: Slask Wroclaw and Wieczysta Kraków

Slask Wroclaw

GoalsAssists

  • P. Banaszak50

Wieczysta Kraków

GoalsAssists

  • Lucas Piazón42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slask Wroclaw beat Wieczysta Kraków 2–0. The model had made a win for Slask Wroclaw its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Malaly Dembele 24' for Slask Wroclaw, Przemyslaw Banaszak 45+3' for Slask Wroclaw. On expected goals it finished 2.85–1.69.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Slask Wroclaw a 58.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 51.9% after a win, 63.0% after a draw, 65.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 51.9%, 6.9 points lower than before the match.

For Wieczysta Kraków the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 30.7% going in: 23.0% after a win, 29.0% after a draw, 36.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 36.9%, 6.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ekstraklasa season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Slask Wroclaw v Wieczysta Kraków has moved

First published on 11 Oct at 39% / 25% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 41% / 25% / 34%: the biggest move is Slask Wroclaw's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Slask Wroclaw win41%▲ +2
  2. Draw25%=
  3. Wieczysta Kraków win34%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.