17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové Czech Liga prediction & result

Eden Arena, Prague
Referee: Jan Vsetecka
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Slavia Praha 0-0 Hradec Králové.

Before kick-off the model made it 69% Slavia Praha, 20% draw, 11% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 1.45, 5.00 and 9.09.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Slavia Praha at 69%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slavia Praha5%Draw92%Hradec Králové3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Samuel Isife
32'
🔁Samuel Isifeout: Mubarak Suleiman
45'
🔁Danijel Sturmout: Emmanuel Ayaosi
45'
Tomáš Chorý
55'
57'
🔁Vladimír Daridaout: Matej Valenta
65'
Jakub Uhrincat
68'
🔁Tom Sloncikout: Adam Vlkanova
🔁Mojmír Chytilout: Lukáš Provod
69'
🔁Tomáš Vlčekout: David Moses
70'
71'
David Horejš
72'
Abdullahi Umar
82'
🔁Ondřej Mihálikout: Daniel Trubač
🔁Wiktor Nowakout: Ange N'Guessan
86'
Lukáš Provod
87'
90+5'
František Čech

Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové

63%Possession37%
24Shots8
2On target1
8Corners1
1.72xG0.52

Goals against chances

Slavia Praha0 from 1.72 xGless than the chances were worth
Hradec Králové0 from 0.52 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Slavia Praha 3-4-2-1
  • 35J. MarkovičG
  • 3T. HolešD
  • 4D. ZimaD
  • 27T. VlčekD
  • 14S. IsifeM
  • 23M. SadílekM
  • 30W. NowakM
  • 8O. KubiakM
  • 13M. ChytilM
  • 10D. ŠturmM
  • 25T. ChorýF
Substitutes
  • 22T. DiakitéM
  • 32Pavel KacorM
  • 17L. ProvodM
  • 29N. DomchakG
  • 41M. A. SolarteD
  • 42M. KonečnýD
  • 6A. N'GuessanD
  • 16D. MosesM
  • 20E. AyaosiM
Coach: J. Trpišovský
Hradec Králové 3-4-2-1
  • 12A. ZadražilG
  • 7J. UhrinčaťD
  • 4T. PetrášekD
  • 25F. ČechD
  • 2D. LudvíčekM
  • 16V. DaridaM
  • 11S. DancákM
  • 3F. MielkeM
  • 24A. UmarM
  • 19T. SlončíkM
  • 17O. MihálikF
Substitutes
  • 9M. ValentaM
  • 22S. PonikelskyM
  • 8V. ZentrichD
  • 30J. ChvátalM
  • 33Rodrigo AbajasD
  • 20M. VágnerG
  • 1P. VízekG
  • 58A. VlkanovaM
  • 27D. TrubačM
Coach: D. Horejs

Form going into Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové

Slavia Praha

Czech Liga

  • W1-0away to Zlin9 October 2026

Hradec Králové

Czech Liga

  • L2-4Artis10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Slavia Praha141040368+2834
11Hradec Králové145361718-118

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové

  • 17 May 2026Hradec Králové 3–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 19 April 2026Hradec Králové 2–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 20 July 2025Slavia Praha 2–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
  • 5 April 2025Slavia Praha 2–1 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
  • 3 November 2024Hradec Králové 1–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 28 April 2024Hradec Králové 1–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové

Slavia Praha

GoalsAssists

  • M. Chytil61
  • E. Ayaosi53
  • W. Nowak51

Hradec Králové

GoalsAssists

  • T. Čvančara41
  • T. Slončík40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Slavia Praha at 69% and given a draw 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. Sent off: Tomáš Chorý (Slavia Praha) 55'. On expected goals it finished 1.72–0.52.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Slavia Praha a 94.0% chance to finish top of the regular season: 94.9% after a win, 91.9% after a draw, 91.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 91.9%, 2.1 points lower than before the match.

For Hradec Králové the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 5.0% going in: 1.1% after a win, 4.2% after a draw, 5.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 4.2%, 0.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Slavia Praha v Hradec Králové has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 56% / 26% / 18% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 69% / 20% / 11%: the biggest move is Slavia Praha's chance of winning, up 13 points.

  1. Slavia Praha win69%▲ +13
  2. Draw20%▼ −6
  3. Hradec Králové win11%▼ −7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.