17 October 2026, 11:00 UTC

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Referee: Felix Weller, Germany
Full time2 – 0

Final score: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-0 Eintracht Braunschweig.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 25% draw, 31% Eintracht Braunschweig — fair odds of 2.27, 4.00 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SpVgg Greuther Fürth99%Draw1%Eintracht Braunschweig0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Felix Klausassist: Lukas Reich
32'
45'
🔁Samuele Di Benedettoout: Robin Heusser
⚽Felix Klausassist: Sacha Banse
63'
64'
🔁Fabio Di Michele Sanchezout: Noah Katterbach
64'
🔁Aaron Opokuout: Jovan Mijatovic
🔁Shinta Karl Appelkampout: Dennis Srbeny
66'
🔁Omar Sillahout: Jordan Siebatcheu
73'
🔁Gian-Luca Itterout: Krisztián Keresztes
74'
Felix Klaus
74'
79'
🔁Lukas Frenkertout: Arlet Junior Zé
🔁Ole Pohlmannout: Aaron Keller
88'
🔁Felix Klausout: Faton Ademi
88'

Match stats — SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig

46%Possession54%
13Shots19
3On target4
6Corners9
0.71xG1.31

Goals against chances

SpVgg Greuther Fürth2 from 0.71 xGmore than the chances were worth
Eintracht Braunschweig0 from 1.31 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-2-3-1
  • 1Florian HellsternG
  • 2Lukas ReichD
  • 22J. HeuerD
  • 34Hendry Aron BlankD
  • 27G. ItterD
  • 6S. BanséM
  • 13P. WillM
  • 30F. KlausM
  • 8S. AppelkampM
  • 10Ole PohlmannM
  • 42O. SillahF
Substitutes
  • 37F. AdemiM
  • 28D. ArifiM
  • 45Olgherto BalliuM
  • 9J. SiebatcheuF
  • 11A. KellerM
  • 29K. KeresztesD
  • 39C. OrtagG
  • 7D. SrbenyF
  • 21M. WallentowitzM
Coach: H. Vogel
Eintracht Braunschweig 4-2-3-1
  • 1R. HoffmannG
  • 8M. AydınD
  • 21K. EhlersD
  • 29L. FrenkertD
  • 22F. Di Michele SanchezD
  • 6F. FlickM
  • 15Max MarieM
  • 17A. OpokuM
  • 10S. Di BenedettoM
  • 7Yann SturmM
  • 27Jan UrbichF
Substitutes
  • 24S. SanéF
  • 32B. UphoffG
  • 37S. RaebigerM
  • 11J. MijatovićF
  • 3N. KatterbachD
  • 19Junior Arlet ZéM
  • 4A. HotiD
  • 30R. HeußerM
  • 26T. WagnerM
Coach: Lars Kornetka

Form going into SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga

  • L1-2away to Hertha BSC11 October 2026

Eintracht Braunschweig

2. Bundesliga

  • W1-0Holstein Kiel9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10SpVgg Greuther Fürth113351319-612
13Eintracht Braunschweig113261618-211

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig

  • 24 January 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–0 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
  • 9 August 2025Eintracht Braunschweig 3–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • 23 February 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–0 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
  • 21 September 2024Eintracht Braunschweig 2–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • 4 May 2024SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–3 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
  • 2 December 2023Eintracht Braunschweig 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Eintracht Braunschweig

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

GoalsAssists

  • F. Klaus71

Eintracht Braunschweig

GoalsAssists

  • Jan Urbich41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SpVgg Greuther Fürth beat Eintracht Braunschweig 2–0. The model had made a win for SpVgg Greuther Fürth its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Felix Klaus 32' for SpVgg Greuther Fürth, Felix Klaus 63' for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. On expected goals it finished 0.71–1.31.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 21.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 15.7% after a win, 23.2% after a draw, 26.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.7%, 5.3 points lower than before the match.

For Eintracht Braunschweig the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 33.2% going in: 26.0% after a win, 32.6% after a draw, 37.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 37.5%, 4.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 2. Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Eintracht Braunschweig has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 42% / 27% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 44% / 25% / 31%: the biggest move is SpVgg Greuther Fürth's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. SpVgg Greuther Fürth win44%▲ +2
  2. Draw25%▼ −2
  3. Eintracht Braunschweig win31%=

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.