1 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Stoke City vs Norwich Championship prediction & result

Stoke on Trent
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Stoke City 1-0 Norwich.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Stoke City, 29% draw, 31% Norwich — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Stoke City at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Stoke City96%Draw4%Norwich0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽E. Galbraith
13'
🔁B. Wilmotout: L. Bombino
46'
🔁M. Manhoefout: S. Gallagher
46'
46'
🔁A. Slimaneout: A. Musaba
B. Lawal
47'
E. Galbraith
49'
56'
🔁D. Yongwaout: B. Chrisene
🔁G. Hirstout: R. Bozenik
59'
61'
J. Cordoba
66'
K. McLean
71'
🔁M. Toureout: M. Kvistgaarden
71'
🔁A. Brooksout: P. A. Diallo
85'
🔁P. Mattssonout: J. Wright
🔁D. Soumareout: B. Pearson
87'

Match stats — Stoke City vs Norwich

28%Possession72%
6Shots15
2On target6
3Corners5

Line-ups

Stoke City
  • 1V. Johansson
  • 16B. Wilmot
  • 18B. Lawal
  • 5L. Graham
  • 2B. Johnson
  • 27D. Soumare
  • 8E. Galbraith
  • 17E. Bocat
  • 42M. Manhoef
  • 15G. Hirst
  • 10Bae Jun-Ho
Substitutes
  • 24J. Griffiths
  • 21L. Bombino
  • 43F. Anderson
  • 52L. Giani
  • 4B. Pearson
  • 19T. Rigo
  • 59G. Kelly
  • 9R. Bozenik
  • 20S. Gallagher
Coach: Mark Robins
Norwich
  • 1V. Kovacevic
  • 3J. Stacey
  • 15R. McConville
  • 33J. Cordoba
  • 13D. Yongwa
  • 23K. McLean
  • 7P. Mattsson
  • 11A. Brooks
  • 20A. Slimane
  • 29O. Schwartau
  • 21M. Toure
Substitutes
  • 32D. Grimshaw
  • 6H. Darling
  • 14B. Chrisene
  • 35K. Fisher
  • 16J. Wright
  • 26S. Field
  • 49A. Musaba
  • 30M. Kvistgaarden
  • 19P. A. Diallo
Coach: Philippe Clement

Form going into Stoke City vs Norwich

Stoke City

All competitions we cover

  • L1-4away to Wolves29 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Southampton22 August 2026
  • L1-2Swansea15 August 2026

Norwich

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1Burnley29 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Millwall22 August 2026
  • L1-2West Brom15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Stoke City159242418+629
12Norwich157083224+821

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Stoke City vs Norwich

  • 4 January 2026Norwich 0–2 Stoke CityChampionship
  • 27 September 2025Stoke City 1–1 NorwichChampionship
  • 22 February 2025Norwich 4–2 Stoke CityChampionship
  • 19 October 2024Stoke City 1–1 NorwichChampionship
  • 16 March 2024Stoke City 0–3 NorwichChampionship

The full Stoke City vs Norwich record →

Leading scorers: Stoke City and Norwich

Stoke City

GoalsAssists

  • J. McGlynn52

Norwich

GoalsAssists

  • M. Touré50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Stoke City beat Norwich 1–0. The model had made a win for Stoke City its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: E. Galbraith 13' for Stoke City.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.