24 October 2026, 14:30 UTC

Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen 3. Liga prediction & result

WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
Referee: Sebastian Hilsberg
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Stuttgart II 1-2 Alemannia Aachen.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Stuttgart II, 26% draw, 37% Alemannia Aachen — fair odds of 2.70, 3.85 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Stuttgart II at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Stuttgart II0%Draw5%Alemannia Aachen95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
⚽Danilo Wiebeassist: Louis Köster
🔁Luca Jaquezout: Leonidas Stergiou
31'
Lauri Lukas Penna
35'
Julian Lüers
41'
🔁Julian Lüersout: Veit Stange
45'
🔁Ameen Al Dakhilout: Nicolás Sessa
45'
⚽Oliver Rölkeassist: Joyeux Masanka Bungi
48'
52'
⚽Petros Bagkalianisassist: Matti Wagner
Enis Redzepi
54'
59'
Lukas Scepanik
🔁Leonidas Stergiouout: Tim Kohler
65'
72'
🔁Georg Ermolaevout: Justin von der Hitz
🔁Enis Redzepiout: Eliot Bujupi
72'
73'
Mika Schroers
86'
🔁Lukas Scepanikout: Fabio Torsiello
86'
🔁Mehdi Louneout: Meiko Wäschenbach
86'
🔁Mika Schroersout: Kacper Koscierski
89'
Louis Köster
90+2'
🔁Louis Kösterout: Mika Timothy Hanraths

Match stats — Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen

53%Possession47%
16Shots15
5On target8
10Corners11

Line-ups

Stuttgart II 4-4-2
  • 33M. FunkG
  • 2A. Al DakhilD
  • 43L. JaquezD
  • 4Maximilian Tobias HerwerthD
  • 24Joyeux Masanka BungiD
  • 7L. PennaM
  • 18J. LuersM
  • 8Y. SpaltM
  • 27Jarzinho Ataide Adriano de Nascimento MalangaM
  • 39E. RedzepiF
  • 11Oliver RölkeF
Substitutes
  • 38Eliot BujupiF
  • 17A. JanjicD
  • 13Tim KöhlerD
  • 30J. MajchrzakF
  • 10N. SessaM
  • 31V. StangeM
  • 45L. StergiouD
  • 19E. YigitM
  • 1Jerik von der FelsenG
Coach: N. Willig
Alemannia Aachen 3-4-3
  • 1M. RiemannG
  • 37J. da Silva KialaD
  • 4D. LeonardD
  • 2P. BagalianisD
  • 7L. ScepanikM
  • 28D. WiebeM
  • 10M. LouneM
  • 3Matti WagnerM
  • 8L. KösterF
  • 27M. SchröersF
  • 20Georg ErmolaevF
Substitutes
  • 17F. TorsielloF
  • 11M. WäschenbachM
  • 30Justin-Kai von der HitzD
  • 9D. StarodidF
  • 29K. KoscierskiD
  • 18Ken IzekorF
  • 15M. HanrathsD
  • 19N. BitumazalaM
  • 23S. BajićG
Coach: M. Selimbegovic

Form going into Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen

Stuttgart II

3. Liga

  • W1-0away to Fortuna Köln16 October 2026
  • W3-2Hoffenheim II13 October 2026

Alemannia Aachen

3. Liga

  • W2-0Hansa Rostock17 October 2026
  • L0-3away to SV Wehen14 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Stuttgart II135352223-118
7Alemannia Aachen136251919020

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen

  • 11 April 2026Alemannia Aachen 3–1 Stuttgart II3. Liga
  • 9 November 2025Stuttgart II 1–3 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
  • 3 May 2025Stuttgart II 2–1 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
  • 7 December 2024Alemannia Aachen 2–1 Stuttgart II3. Liga
  • 11 May 2013Alemannia Aachen 4–2 Stuttgart II3. Liga
  • 17 November 2012Stuttgart II 2–1 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga

Leading scorers: Stuttgart II and Alemannia Aachen

Stuttgart II

GoalsAssists

  • T. van der Leij40

Alemannia Aachen

No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Alemannia Aachen won 2–1 at Stuttgart II. The goals: Danilo Wiebe 12' for Alemannia Aachen, Oliver Rölke 48' for Stuttgart II, Petros Bagkalianis 52' for Alemannia Aachen.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Stuttgart II a 15.7% chance to finish in the bottom four: 10.9% after a win, 16.2% after a draw, 19.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 19.6%, 3.9 points higher than before the match.

For Alemannia Aachen the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 15.7% going in: 19.3% after a win, 14.0% after a draw, 12.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 19.3%, 3.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Stuttgart II v Alemannia Aachen has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 31% / 26% / 43% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 37% / 26% / 37%: the biggest move is Stuttgart II's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Stuttgart II win37%▲ +6
  2. Draw26%=
  3. Alemannia Aachen win37%▼ −6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.