SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: SV Meppen 4-0 Würzburger Kickers.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% SV Meppen, 29% draw, 29% Würzburger Kickers — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
SV Meppen at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers
Line-ups
- 44J. PüntG
- 2Dominique DomroseD
- 19L. SprekelmeyerD
- 33Stefan RankicD
- 3T. MißnerD
- 5J. FedlM
- 10K. GhawiluM
- 6E. ZehirM
- 14T. DetersM
- 7O. SchmittM
- 17J. EhlersF
- 39F. BährD
- 4Jona BorsumM
- 9C. AkonoF
- 1N. OberbeckG
- 11S. EngelmannF
- 40N. NadjM
- 31L. PrasseF
- 20N. TougloD
- 23N. WesselsM
- 33M. RajkovačićG
- 17L. OmoreD
- 16L. BreunigD
- 28E. FarahnakD
- 21L. HemmerichD
- 37I. FranjićM
- 6Namrud EmbayeM
- 27Xaver KiefersauerM
- 18F. EvinaM
- 31T. KrausF
- 30T. BongaF
- 13P. OchsM
- 11D. BerishaF
- 5L. EberleD
- 1Johann HipperG
- 34Burak KarakayaD
- 19T. KastanarasF
- 8D. KinsombiM
- 25D. MeiselM
- 9Jermain NischalkeF
Form going into SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers
SV Meppen
3. Liga
- D1-1Havelse18 October 2026
- W2-0away to Hansa Rostock13 October 2026
Würzburger Kickers
3. Liga
- W2-0Waldhof Mannheim17 October 2026
- D2-2away to Havelse13 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SV Meppen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 | Würzburger Kickers | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers
- 30 April 2022SV Meppen 2–4 FC Wurzburger Kickers3. Liga
- 27 November 2021FC Wurzburger Kickers 1–3 SV Meppen3. Liga
- 30 May 2020SV Meppen 1–3 FC Wurzburger Kickers3. Liga
- 20 September 2019FC Wurzburger Kickers 3–2 SV Meppen3. Liga
- 12 March 2019SV Meppen 1–1 FC Wurzburger Kickers3. Liga
- 25 September 2018FC Wurzburger Kickers 2–1 SV Meppen3. Liga
Leading scorers: SV Meppen and Würzburger Kickers
SV Meppen
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Würzburger Kickers
GoalsAssists
- T. Bonga41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SV Meppen beat Würzburger Kickers 4–0. The model had made a win for SV Meppen its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Oliver Issa Schmitt 26' for SV Meppen, Stefan Rankic 39' for SV Meppen, Jannic Ehlers 61' for SV Meppen, Jannic Ehlers 73' for SV Meppen.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave SV Meppen a 32.7% chance to finish in the bottom four: 27.3% after a win, 34.2% after a draw, 39.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 27.3%, 5.4 points lower than before the match.
For Würzburger Kickers the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 30.6% going in: 24.3% after a win, 29.2% after a draw, 35.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 35.0%, 4.4 points higher than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on SV Meppen v Würzburger Kickers has moved
First published on 10 Oct at 42% / 26% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 42% / 29% / 29%: the biggest move is Würzburger Kickers's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- SV Meppen win42%=
- Draw29%▲ +3
- Würzburger Kickers win29%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.